Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains preview
In the Challenger Pro League match between Beerschot VA and Francs Borains, the 1X2 probabilities favor Beerschot VA at 62% compared to 17% for Francs Borains. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with Beerschot VA's expected goals of 2.36 against Francs Borains' 1.20.
Beerschot VA is in strong recent form, winning their last 6 matches, while Francs Borains has mixed results with 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6. Although the model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 64%, any unexpected performance from Francs Borains could alter the outcome.
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains: model vs market
| Source | Beerschot VA | Draw | Francs Borains |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Published | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Beerschot VA and Francs Borains expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.43
- Attack rating (Beerschot VA / Francs Borains)
- 1.58 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Beerschot VA / Francs Borains)
- 0.94 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Beerschot VA goals. Columns: Francs Borains goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Francs Borains | 18% | 5.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Beerschot VA or draw) | 82% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Francs Borains) | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win by 2+ | 41% | 2.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Beerschot VA and Francs Borains recent form
Beerschot VA
6W 0D 0L
Francs Borains
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Beerschot VA at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Francs Borains away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 71% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Beerschot VA at home only, Francs Borains away only.
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Beerschot VA 2 · draws 0 · Francs Borains 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Francs Borains | 0-2 | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-09-20 | Beerschot VA | 4-1 | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Seraing United vs Liège 2026-10-30
- KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Club Brugge II v Sporting Hasselt — match page 2026-10-31
- Dender v KRC Genk II — match page 2026-11-01
- AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Beerschot VA, previous: AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA prediction
- Francs Borains, previous: Francs Borains – Dender, 2026-10-23