Updated

Challenger Pro League · Matchday 9

Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse

· Patrostadion, Maasmechelen

Alin prediction Lokeren-Temse to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Patro EisdenDrawLokeren-Temse
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.29.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse preview

In the fixture between Patro Eisden and Lokeren-Temse, the 1X2 probabilities show Lokeren-Temse at 55%, compared to Patro Eisden's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance of occurring. Lokeren-Temse's expected goals stand at 2.06, while Patro Eisden's is lower at 1.27, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.

There is a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 64%. However, Patro Eisden's recent form, with 1 win in their last 6 matches, could impact their performance negatively. Lokeren-Temse also shows inconsistency, with 2 wins in their last 6, which could lead to unexpected results.

Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePatro EisdenDrawLokeren-Temse
Model22%23%56%
Market———
Published22%23%56%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.29.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Patro Eisden and Lokeren-Temse expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.29Patro Eisden
2.12Lokeren-Temse
Total expected goals
3.41
Attack rating (Patro Eisden / Lokeren-Temse)
0.96 / 1.37
Defence rating (Patro Eisden / Lokeren-Temse)
1.14 / 0.89

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.2% 6.1% 7.5% 5.3% 4.6% 1 3.3% 9.9% 9.6% 6.8% 5.9% 2 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 3.8% 3 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.6% 4+ 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.7%

Rows: Patro Eisden goals. Columns: Lokeren-Temse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 66%
Over 3.5 44%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Patro Eisden22%4.60
Draw23%4.44
Lokeren-Temse56%1.79
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566%1.51
Under 2.534%2.96
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.55
No35%2.83
Double chance1X (Patro Eisden or draw)44%2.26
12 (either side)77%1.29
X2 (draw or Lokeren-Temse)78%1.28
Handicap -1Lokeren-Temse win by 2+35%2.90
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Patro Eisden and Lokeren-Temse recent form

Patro Eisden 3W 0D 3L
Lokeren-Temse 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Patro Eisden at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Lokeren-Temse away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.67
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Patro Eisden at home only, Lokeren-Temse away only.

Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Patro Eisden 1 · draws 1 · Lokeren-Temse 0.

Patro EisdenDrawsLokeren-Temse
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-12-21Lokeren-Temse1-1Patro EisdenChallenger Pro League
2025-08-09Patro Eisden2-1Lokeren-TemseChallenger Pro League

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Lokeren-Temse to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Lokeren-Temse