Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden preview
Sporting Hasselt faces Patro Eisden with 43% chances to win compared to 31% for Patro Eisden. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 2.26 for Sporting Hasselt and 1.71 for Patro Eisden.
There is a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 74%. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty. Recent form shows Sporting Hasselt with three wins in their last six matches, while Patro Eisden has also had three wins but with a slightly less consistent performance. This could impact the outcome.
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden: model vs market
| Source | Sporting Hasselt | Draw | Patro Eisden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 22% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 32% |
| Published | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.71.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.26, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sporting Hasselt, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Hasselt | 2.45 | 2.18 | -0.27 |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.44 | +0.06 |
| Patro Eisden | 2.58 | 2.88 | +0.29 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.97
- Attack rating (Sporting Hasselt / Patro Eisden)
- 1.40 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Sporting Hasselt / Patro Eisden)
- 1.17 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sporting Hasselt goals. Columns: Patro Eisden goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Hasselt | 44% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Patro Eisden | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.35 |
| No | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sporting Hasselt or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Patro Eisden) | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Hasselt win by 2+ | 30% | 3.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sporting Hasselt and Patro Eisden recent form
Sporting Hasselt
4W 0D 2L
Patro Eisden
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sporting Hasselt at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Patro Eisden away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Sporting Hasselt at home only, Patro Eisden away only.
Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sporting Hasselt 0 · draws 2 · Patro Eisden 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-05 | Patro Eisden | 3-3 | Sporting Hasselt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| 2018-12-08 | Sporting Hasselt | 1-1 | Patro Eisden | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Francs Borains v Seraing United — match page 2026-11-07
- RSC Anderlecht II vs Club Brugge II 2026-11-07
- Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA 2026-11-07
- K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen 2026-11-08
- Lokeren-Temse v Dender — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Sporting Hasselt, previous: Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt prediction
- Patro Eisden, previous: Patro Eisden v Lokeren-Temse analysis