KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II preview
KRC Genk II faces KAA Gent II with a 45% chance of winning compared to Gent's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 9% of the time according to our model. KRC Genk II has an expected goals figure of 1.65, while KAA Gent II's is 1.30.
Both teams to score stands at 60%, and there is a 57% chance of Over 2.5 goals. Recent form shows KRC Genk II with two draws and a win in their last five matches, while KAA Gent II has two wins and a draw in the same period. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either team, with two draws.
KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II: model vs market
| Source | KRC Genk II | Draw | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Published | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.30.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on KRC Genk II, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 2.12 | 2.08 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.61 | 3.65 | +0.04 |
| KAA Gent II | 2.91 | 2.95 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
KRC Genk II and KAA Gent II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.95
- Attack rating (KRC Genk II / KAA Gent II)
- 0.94 / 0.93
- Defence rating (KRC Genk II / KAA Gent II)
- 1.04 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: KRC Genk II goals. Columns: KAA Gent II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KRC Genk II | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| KAA Gent II | 31% | 3.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (KRC Genk II or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or KAA Gent II) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | KRC Genk II win by 2+ | 24% | 4.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
KRC Genk II and KAA Gent II recent form
KRC Genk II
1W 3D 2L
KAA Gent II
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
KRC Genk II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KAA Gent II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: KRC Genk II at home only, KAA Gent II away only.
KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: KRC Genk II 0 · draws 2 · KAA Gent II 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | KRC Genk II | 1-1 | KAA Gent II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-11-22 | KAA Gent II | 0-0 | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Francs Borains v Seraing United — match page 2026-11-07
- RSC Anderlecht II vs Club Brugge II 2026-11-07
- Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA 2026-11-07
- K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen 2026-11-08
- Lokeren-Temse v Dender — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- KRC Genk II, previous: Dender – KRC Genk II, 2026-11-01
- KAA Gent II, previous: KAA Gent II – K. Lierse S.K., 2026-10-30