Lokeren-Temse vs Dender preview
In the fixture between Lokeren-Temse and Dender, the 1X2 probabilities show Dender at 41%, Lokeren-Temse at 32%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance according to our model.
Both teams to score has a probability of 58%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%. Lokeren-Temse has an expected goals figure of 1.28, while Dender’s is higher at 1.56. The recent form shows Lokeren-Temse with a record of L-W-L-W-D-W, while Dender has been more consistent with D-L-W-W-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Lokeren-Temse vs Dender: model vs market
| Source | Lokeren-Temse | Draw | Dender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Published | 36% | 27% | 38% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.59, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Lokeren-Temse vs Dender odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dender, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren-Temse | 2.78 | 2.52 | -0.26 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Dender | 2.29 | 2.49 | +0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Lokeren-Temse and Dender expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (Lokeren-Temse / Dender)
- 1.33 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Lokeren-Temse / Dender)
- 1.01 / 0.64
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lokeren-Temse vs Dender score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lokeren-Temse goals. Columns: Dender goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lokeren-Temse vs Dender goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lokeren-Temse vs Dender
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Dender | 38% | 2.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lokeren-Temse or draw) | 62% | 1.60 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Dender) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dender win by 2+ | 19% | 5.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Lokeren-Temse and Dender recent form
Lokeren-Temse
3W 1D 2L
Dender
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lokeren-Temse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
Dender away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Lokeren-Temse at home only, Dender away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Francs Borains v Seraing United — match page 2026-11-07
- RSC Anderlecht II vs Club Brugge II 2026-11-07
- Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA 2026-11-07
- K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Lokeren-Temse, previous: Patro Eisden v Lokeren-Temse analysis
- Dender, previous: Francs Borains – Dender, 2026-11-04