Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy preview

Renaissance Berkane faces Star Sport Academy with a 60% probability of winning, while the draw sits at 28% and Star Sport Academy at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 18% chance. Renaissance Berkane has an expected goals figure of 1.53, compared to Star Sport Academy's 0.57.

Both teams to score is at 35%, and Over 2.5 goals is also at 35%. The recent form shows Renaissance Berkane with two wins, one loss, two draws, while Star Sport Academy has drawn their last two matches. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Renaissance Berkane	Draw	Star Sport Academy
Model	55%	31%	14%
Market	—	—	—
Published	55%	31%	14%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.55.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Renaissance Berkane and Star Sport Academy expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.34Renaissance Berkane

0.55Star Sport Academy

Total expected goals: 1.88
Attack rating (Renaissance Berkane / Star Sport Academy): 1.21 / 0.86
Defence rating (Renaissance Berkane / Star Sport Academy): 0.86 / 0.86

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 16.3% 7.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 1 19.2% 12.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 2 13.6% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 3 6.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Renaissance Berkane goals. Columns: Star Sport Academy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%

Over 1.5 57%

Over 2.5 29%

Over 3.5 12%

Both teams to score: 32%
No goals (0–0): 16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Renaissance Berkane vs Star Sport Academy

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Renaissance Berkane	55%	1.81
	Draw	31%	3.25
	Star Sport Academy	14%	7.10
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	29%	3.43
	Under 2.5	71%	1.41
Both teams to score	Yes	32%	3.11
	No	68%	1.47
Double chance	1X (Renaissance Berkane or draw)	86%	1.16
	12 (either side)	69%	1.44
	X2 (draw or Star Sport Academy)	45%	2.23
Handicap -1	Renaissance Berkane win by 2+	28%	3.63
	Push (exactly one goal)	28%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer