Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane preview
In the upcoming match between Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane, the 1X2 probabilities show Maghreb Fès at 31%, a draw at 35%, and Renaissance Berkane at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 17%, indicating a potential lack of goals. Maghreb Fès has an expected goals figure of 0.88, while Renaissance Berkane is slightly higher at 0.95.
Both teams to score stands at 37%, suggesting that scoring may be challenging. Recent form shows Maghreb Fès with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Renaissance Berkane has 4 wins in their last 6. The head-to-head record favors Renaissance Berkane, who has won 3 of the last 4 encounters. A surprise result could arise if either team improves their attacking efficiency.
Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane: model vs market
| Source | Maghreb Fès | Draw | Renaissance Berkane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 35% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 35% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.84
- Attack rating (Maghreb Fès / Renaissance Berkane)
- 1.11 / 1.14
- Defence rating (Maghreb Fès / Renaissance Berkane)
- 0.79 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maghreb Fès goals. Columns: Renaissance Berkane goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maghreb Fès | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Renaissance Berkane | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.67 |
| No | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maghreb Fès or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| X2 (draw or Renaissance Berkane) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Renaissance Berkane win by 2+ | 13% | 7.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane recent form
Maghreb Fès
2W 3D 1L
Renaissance Berkane
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maghreb Fès at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
Renaissance Berkane away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Maghreb Fès at home only, Renaissance Berkane away only.
Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Maghreb Fès 0 · draws 1 · Renaissance Berkane 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Maghreb Fès | 1-2 | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro |
| 2026-04-05 | Renaissance Berkane | 1-1 | Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro |
| 2025-05-11 | Maghreb Fès | 1-3 | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro |
| 2024-12-22 | Renaissance Berkane | 2-0 | Maghreb Fès | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Amal Tiznit v CODM Meknès — match page 2026-10-24
- UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara 2026-10-24
- CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat — match page 2026-10-25
- Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-28
- FAR Rabat v Ittihad Tanger — match page 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Maghreb Fès, previous: ASEC Mimosas – Maghreb Fès, 2026-10-25
- Renaissance Berkane, previous: Renaissance Berkane v Star Sport Academy analysis