Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca preview
In the match between Renaissance Berkane and Raja Casablanca, the 1X2 probabilities show Renaissance Berkane at 37%, draw at 35%, and Raja Casablanca at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% chance. Renaissance Berkane has an expected goals figure of 1.02, while Raja Casablanca sits at 0.85.
Renaissance Berkane's recent form includes 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 4 matches, while Raja Casablanca has 2 wins and 2 draws in the same period. The model suggests a 29% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score. These figures indicate that while Renaissance Berkane has a better chance of winning, any unexpected performance from Raja Casablanca could alter the outcome.
Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca: model vs market
| Source | Renaissance Berkane | Draw | Raja Casablanca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 35% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 35% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Renaissance Berkane and Raja Casablanca expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.87
- Attack rating (Renaissance Berkane / Raja Casablanca)
- 1.12 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Renaissance Berkane / Raja Casablanca)
- 0.66 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Renaissance Berkane goals. Columns: Raja Casablanca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Renaissance Berkane | 37% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Raja Casablanca | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.64 |
| No | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Renaissance Berkane or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| X2 (draw or Raja Casablanca) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Renaissance Berkane win by 2+ | 15% | 6.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Renaissance Berkane and Raja Casablanca recent form
Renaissance Berkane
3W 3D 0L
Raja Casablanca
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Renaissance Berkane at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
Raja Casablanca away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Renaissance Berkane at home only, Raja Casablanca away only.
Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Renaissance Berkane 3 · draws 1 · Raja Casablanca 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Raja Casablanca | 0-1 | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro |
| 2026-02-25 | Renaissance Berkane | 1-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2024-12-29 | Renaissance Berkane | 2-0 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2024-08-31 | Raja Casablanca | 0-1 | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
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- Amal Tiznit v Kawkab Marrakech — match page 2026-10-31
- Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-31
- Widad Témara v Maghreb Fès — match page 2026-11-01
- Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Renaissance Berkane, previous: Maghreb Fès v Renaissance Berkane analysis
- Raja Casablanca, previous: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir prediction