Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat preview
In the upcoming match between Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat, the 1X2 probabilities show UTS Rabat at 47% to win, compared to 27% for Difaa EL Jadida and 26% for a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance.
Both teams have shown recent form that could influence the outcome. Difaa EL Jadida has a record of W-W-L-L-L-D, while UTS Rabat has L-D-W-W-W-D. The expected goals are 1.24 for Difaa EL Jadida and 1.68 for UTS Rabat. Additionally, there is a 56% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score. This suggests that while UTS Rabat is favored, unexpected performances could change the match dynamics.
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat: model vs market
| Source | Difaa EL Jadida | Draw | UTS Rabat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Difaa EL Jadida / UTS Rabat)
- 1.58 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Difaa EL Jadida / UTS Rabat)
- 1.57 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Difaa EL Jadida goals. Columns: UTS Rabat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Difaa EL Jadida | 27% | 3.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| UTS Rabat | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Difaa EL Jadida or draw) | 53% | 1.87 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or UTS Rabat) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Handicap -1 | UTS Rabat win by 2+ | 25% | 3.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat recent form
Difaa EL Jadida
2W 1D 3L
UTS Rabat
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Difaa EL Jadida at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
UTS Rabat away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Difaa EL Jadida at home only, UTS Rabat away only.
Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Difaa EL Jadida 3 · draws 1 · UTS Rabat 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | UTS Rabat | 1-2 | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro |
| 2026-02-14 | Difaa EL Jadida | 1-0 | UTS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2025-02-27 | Difaa EL Jadida | 1-0 | UTS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2024-10-26 | UTS Rabat | 2-2 | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro |
Before and after this match
- Difaa EL Jadida, previous: Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida: odds and pick
- UTS Rabat, previous: UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC prediction