Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan Prediction & Betting Tips 31/10/2026

Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan preview

Wydad AC faces Moghreb Tetouan with a 44% chance of winning, compared to 25% for Moghreb Tetouan. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 12% of the time in our model. Wydad AC has an expected goals figure of 1.34, while Moghreb Tetouan sits at 0.94.

Wydad AC's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Moghreb Tetouan has not won in their last 6, with 5 draws and 1 loss. The probability for Over 2.5 goals is 40%, and both teams to score stands at 46%. These factors could lead to different outcomes if Moghreb Tetouan improves their scoring performance.

Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Wydad AC	Draw	Moghreb Tetouan
Model	44%	30%	25%
Market	—	—	—
Published	44%	30%	25%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.94.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Wydad AC and Moghreb Tetouan expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.34Wydad AC

0.94Moghreb Tetouan

Total expected goals: 2.28
Attack rating (Wydad AC / Moghreb Tetouan): 0.85 / 0.82
Defence rating (Wydad AC / Moghreb Tetouan): 1.08 / 1.39

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.5% 8.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4% 1 12.4% 14.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.6% 2 9.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 3 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Wydad AC goals. Columns: Moghreb Tetouan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%

Over 1.5 68%

Over 2.5 40%

Over 3.5 20%

Both teams to score: 46%
No goals (0–0): 12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Wydad AC	44%	2.25
	Draw	30%	3.29
	Moghreb Tetouan	25%	3.97
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	40%	2.51
	Under 2.5	60%	1.66
Both teams to score	Yes	46%	2.16
	No	54%	1.86
Double chance	1X (Wydad AC or draw)	75%	1.34
	12 (either side)	70%	1.44
	X2 (draw or Moghreb Tetouan)	56%	1.80
Handicap -1	Wydad AC win by 2+	21%	4.66
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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