Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès preview
Widad Témara faces Maghreb Fès with 31% probability for a home win, 34% for a draw, and 35% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at 13%. Widad Témara has an expected goals figure of 0.93, while Maghreb Fès sits slightly higher at 1.00.
While both teams to score stands at 40%, the low expected goals for Widad Témara could impact their ability to find the net. Additionally, Widad Témara's recent form shows a mixed bag with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Maghreb Fès has 3 wins and 2 draws in the same period. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a level of uncertainty in the predictions.
Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès: model vs market
| Source | Widad Témara | Draw | Maghreb Fès |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 33% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 33% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Widad Témara and Maghreb Fès expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.05
- Attack rating (Widad Témara / Maghreb Fès)
- 1.05 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Widad Témara / Maghreb Fès)
- 0.84 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Widad Témara goals. Columns: Maghreb Fès goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Widad Témara | 31% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Maghreb Fès | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.36 |
| No | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Widad Témara or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| X2 (draw or Maghreb Fès) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maghreb Fès win by 2+ | 15% | 6.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Widad Témara and Maghreb Fès recent form
Maghreb Fès
3W 2D 1L
Last 5 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Widad Témara at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
Maghreb Fès away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Widad Témara at home only, Maghreb Fès away only.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat 2026-10-30
- Amal Tiznit v Kawkab Marrakech — match page 2026-10-31
- Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-31
- Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat 2026-11-01
- Renaissance Berkane v Raja Casablanca — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Widad Témara, previous: Moghreb Tetouan – Widad Témara, 2026-10-24
- Maghreb Fès, previous: Maghreb Fès v Renaissance Berkane analysis