CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat preview
In the Botola Pro fixture between CODM Meknès and FAR Rabat, the 1X2 probabilities show a close contest with CODM Meknès at 35% and FAR Rabat at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with CODM Meknès winning 3 of their last 6 matches, while FAR Rabat has 2 wins in the same span.
The expected goals are nearly identical, with CODM Meknès at 1.31 and FAR Rabat at 1.33. The model suggests a 49% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome, which could affect the final result.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat: model vs market
| Source | CODM Meknès | Draw | FAR Rabat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CODM Meknès and FAR Rabat expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (CODM Meknès / FAR Rabat)
- 1.25 / 1.15
- Defence rating (CODM Meknès / FAR Rabat)
- 1.07 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CODM Meknès goals. Columns: FAR Rabat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CODM Meknès | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| FAR Rabat | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CODM Meknès or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or FAR Rabat) | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | FAR Rabat win by 2+ | 17% | 5.97 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CODM Meknès and FAR Rabat recent form
CODM Meknès
3W 1D 2L
FAR Rabat
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CODM Meknès at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
FAR Rabat away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: CODM Meknès at home only, FAR Rabat away only.
CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: CODM Meknès 1 · draws 1 · FAR Rabat 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | CODM Meknès | 3-2 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2026-02-27 | FAR Rabat | 3-0 | CODM Meknès | Botola Pro |
| 2025-01-23 | CODM Meknès | 2-2 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2024-09-25 | FAR Rabat | 4-0 | CODM Meknès | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat 2026-10-30
- Amal Tiznit v Kawkab Marrakech — match page 2026-10-31
- Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-31
- Widad Témara v Maghreb Fès — match page 2026-11-01
- Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Renaissance Berkane v Raja Casablanca — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- CODM Meknès, previous: Amal Tiznit vs CODM Meknès: odds and pick
- FAR Rabat, previous: FAR Rabat – Ittihad Tanger, 2026-10-28