FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca preview
FAR Rabat faces Raja Casablanca with 37% chances for a home win, while both teams share 32% for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 11% of the time in our model. The expected goals are 1.16 for FAR Rabat and 1.06 for Raja Casablanca, indicating a tight match.
However, the prediction could change if both teams score, which our model suggests has a 46% chance. Recent form shows FAR Rabat with a record of W-W-D-D-W-D, while Raja Casablanca has D-W-D-D-D-W. With a confidence grade of C, the outcome remains uncertain, especially given the recent draws in their head-to-head encounters, where FAR Rabat has 1 win and Raja Casablanca has none in the last 4 matches.
FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca: model vs market
| Source | FAR Rabat | Draw | Raja Casablanca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 32% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FAR Rabat and Raja Casablanca expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.07
- Attack rating (FAR Rabat / Raja Casablanca)
- 1.12 / 1.10
- Defence rating (FAR Rabat / Raja Casablanca)
- 0.77 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FAR Rabat goals. Columns: Raja Casablanca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAR Rabat | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Raja Casablanca | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.37 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FAR Rabat or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Raja Casablanca) | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | FAR Rabat win by 2+ | 18% | 5.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FAR Rabat and Raja Casablanca recent form
FAR Rabat
3W 3D 0L
Raja Casablanca
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FAR Rabat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
Raja Casablanca away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FAR Rabat at home only, Raja Casablanca away only.
FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FAR Rabat 2 · draws 7 · Raja Casablanca 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | FAR Rabat | 2-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2025-09-17 | Raja Casablanca | 0-0 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2025-02-23 | FAR Rabat | 0-0 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2025-01-11 | FAR Rabat | 1-1 | Raja Casablanca | CAF Champions League |
| 2024-11-26 | Raja Casablanca | 0-2 | FAR Rabat | CAF Champions League |
| 2024-10-22 | Raja Casablanca | 0-0 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2024-07-01 | Raja Casablanca | 2-1 | FAR Rabat | Cup |
| 2024-02-11 | FAR Rabat | 1-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2023-09-03 | Raja Casablanca | 2-2 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2023-06-20 | FAR Rabat | 0-0 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
Before and after this match
- FAR Rabat, previous: CODM Meknès – FAR Rabat, 2026-11-01
- FAR Rabat, next: FAR Rabat – Difaa EL Jadida, 2026-11-08
- Raja Casablanca, previous: Renaissance Berkane v Raja Casablanca analysis
- Raja Casablanca, next: Raja Casablanca v Ittihad Tanger analysis