FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida preview
FAR Rabat faces Difaa EL Jadida with a 51% probability of winning compared to 24% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.85 for FAR Rabat and 1.20 for Difaa EL Jadida. The model suggests a strong chance of Over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
FAR Rabat's recent form shows 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, while Difaa EL Jadida has 2 wins and 3 draws or losses in the same period. Despite FAR Rabat's better form and head-to-head record of 3 wins to 1, the confidence grade is C, indicating potential unpredictability in the match outcome.
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida: model vs market
| Source | FAR Rabat | Draw | Difaa EL Jadida |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FAR Rabat and Difaa EL Jadida expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.05
- Attack rating (FAR Rabat / Difaa EL Jadida)
- 1.12 / 1.48
- Defence rating (FAR Rabat / Difaa EL Jadida)
- 0.77 / 1.47
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FAR Rabat goals. Columns: Difaa EL Jadida goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAR Rabat | 51% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Difaa EL Jadida | 24% | 4.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FAR Rabat or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Difaa EL Jadida) | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Handicap -1 | FAR Rabat win by 2+ | 30% | 3.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FAR Rabat and Difaa EL Jadida recent form
FAR Rabat
3W 3D 0L
Difaa EL Jadida
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FAR Rabat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
Difaa EL Jadida away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FAR Rabat at home only, Difaa EL Jadida away only.
FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: FAR Rabat 3 · draws 0 · Difaa EL Jadida 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | FAR Rabat | 2-1 | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro |
| 2025-11-02 | Difaa EL Jadida | 0-4 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2025-01-26 | FAR Rabat | 1-0 | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro |
| 2024-10-02 | Difaa EL Jadida | 1-0 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit 2026-11-06
- Kawkab Marrakech v Wydad AC — match page 2026-11-07
- Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès 2026-11-07
- CR Khemis Zemamra v Widad Témara — match page 2026-11-08
- Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- FAR Rabat, previous: FAR Rabat – Raja Casablanca, 2026-11-04
- Difaa EL Jadida, previous: Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat: odds and pick