UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit preview
In the Botola Pro fixture, UTS Rabat has a 51% chance of winning against Amal Tiznit, who has a 20% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. UTS Rabat's expected goals stand at 1.45, while Amal Tiznit's is 0.80, indicating a potential edge for the home side.
However, there are factors that could influence the outcome. Both teams to score has a probability of 44%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 39%. If Amal Tiznit can improve their attacking performance, they may challenge UTS Rabat's defense more effectively. Recent form shows UTS Rabat has two wins in their last five matches, while Amal Tiznit has only one win in the same span.
UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit: model vs market
| Source | UTS Rabat | Draw | Amal Tiznit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
UTS Rabat and Amal Tiznit expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.12
- Attack rating (UTS Rabat / Amal Tiznit)
- 0.94 / 0.88
- Defence rating (UTS Rabat / Amal Tiznit)
- 0.78 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: UTS Rabat goals. Columns: Amal Tiznit goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UTS Rabat | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Amal Tiznit | 18% | 5.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.52 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (UTS Rabat or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Amal Tiznit) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | UTS Rabat win by 2+ | 27% | 3.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
UTS Rabat and Amal Tiznit recent form
UTS Rabat
2W 2D 2L
Amal Tiznit
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
UTS Rabat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Amal Tiznit away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: UTS Rabat at home only, Amal Tiznit away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Kawkab Marrakech v Wydad AC — match page 2026-11-07
- Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès 2026-11-07
- CR Khemis Zemamra v Widad Témara — match page 2026-11-08
- FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- UTS Rabat, previous: Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat: odds and pick
- Amal Tiznit, previous: Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech prediction