Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane preview
In the upcoming match between Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane, the 1X2 probabilities show Renaissance Berkane at 43% to win, compared to Hassania Agadir's 25%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.92 for Hassania Agadir and 1.27 for Renaissance Berkane.
While both teams to score stands at 44% and Over 2.5 goals is at 37%, factors like recent form could influence the outcome. Hassania Agadir has two wins in their last six matches, while Renaissance Berkane has three wins in the same period. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane: model vs market
| Source | Hassania Agadir | Draw | Renaissance Berkane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 31% | 48% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 21% | 31% | 48% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.08
- Attack rating (Hassania Agadir / Renaissance Berkane)
- 1.19 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Hassania Agadir / Renaissance Berkane)
- 1.12 / 0.58
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hassania Agadir goals. Columns: Renaissance Berkane goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hassania Agadir | 21% | 4.74 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Renaissance Berkane | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.46 |
| No | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hassania Agadir or draw) | 52% | 1.91 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Renaissance Berkane) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Renaissance Berkane win by 2+ | 23% | 4.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane recent form
Hassania Agadir
2W 2D 2L
Renaissance Berkane
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hassania Agadir at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Renaissance Berkane away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
League matches this season before kick-off: Hassania Agadir at home only, Renaissance Berkane away only.
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Hassania Agadir 2 · draws 0 · Renaissance Berkane 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Hassania Agadir | 1-0 | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro |
| 2026-03-04 | Renaissance Berkane | 2-1 | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro |
| 2025-04-13 | Hassania Agadir | 2-0 | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro |
| 2024-11-23 | Renaissance Berkane | 2-1 | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- Kawkab Marrakech v Wydad AC — match page 2026-11-07
- Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès 2026-11-07
- CR Khemis Zemamra v Widad Témara — match page 2026-11-08
- FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Hassania Agadir, previous: FUS Rabat v Hassania Agadir analysis
- Renaissance Berkane, previous: Renaissance Berkane v Raja Casablanca analysis