Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger preview
In the upcoming match between Raja Casablanca and Ittihad Tanger, the 1X2 probabilities show Raja Casablanca at 38%, while Ittihad Tanger and a draw are both at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs with an 11% probability. Raja Casablanca has an expected goals figure of 1.20 compared to Ittihad Tanger's 1.05, indicating a slight edge in offensive potential.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Raja Casablanca has recorded 1 win in their last 6 matches (L-D-W-D-D-D), while Ittihad Tanger has performed better with 4 wins in their last 6 (W-L-W-L-D-W). Additionally, the model suggests a 39% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 47% likelihood for both teams to score, which could affect the match dynamics.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger: model vs market
| Source | Raja Casablanca | Draw | Ittihad Tanger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Raja Casablanca and Ittihad Tanger expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (Raja Casablanca / Ittihad Tanger)
- 1.10 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Raja Casablanca / Ittihad Tanger)
- 0.95 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Raja Casablanca goals. Columns: Ittihad Tanger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raja Casablanca | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Ittihad Tanger | 31% | 3.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Raja Casablanca or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Ittihad Tanger) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Raja Casablanca win by 2+ | 17% | 5.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Raja Casablanca and Ittihad Tanger recent form
Raja Casablanca
1W 4D 1L
Ittihad Tanger
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Raja Casablanca at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ittihad Tanger away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Raja Casablanca at home only, Ittihad Tanger away only.
Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Raja Casablanca 1 · draws 2 · Ittihad Tanger 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Ittihad Tanger | 1-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2026-02-22 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 2025-01-23 | Raja Casablanca | 1-1 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 2024-09-25 | Ittihad Tanger | 3-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit 2026-11-06
- Kawkab Marrakech v Wydad AC — match page 2026-11-07
- Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès 2026-11-07
- CR Khemis Zemamra v Widad Témara — match page 2026-11-08
- FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Raja Casablanca, previous: FAR Rabat – Raja Casablanca, 2026-11-04
- Ittihad Tanger, previous: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra prediction