Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC preview
Kawkab Marrakech faces Wydad AC with a 46% chance of winning compared to Wydad's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 16% of the time in our model. Kawkab Marrakech's expected goals stand at 1.22, while Wydad AC's is lower at 0.76.
While Kawkab Marrakech has shown solid recent form with three wins in their last five matches, Wydad AC has struggled, recording only two wins in their last five. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals are at 32%, and both teams to score is at 39%. These figures suggest that while Kawkab Marrakech is favored, a low-scoring match is likely, and any unexpected performance from Wydad could change the outcome.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC: model vs market
| Source | Kawkab Marrakech | Draw | Wydad AC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 35% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 35% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.06 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kawkab Marrakech and Wydad AC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.73
- Attack rating (Kawkab Marrakech / Wydad AC)
- 0.97 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Kawkab Marrakech / Wydad AC)
- 0.77 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kawkab Marrakech goals. Columns: Wydad AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 43% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Wydad AC | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 4.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.02 |
| No | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kawkab Marrakech or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.55 | |
| X2 (draw or Wydad AC) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawkab Marrakech win by 2+ | 18% | 5.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Kawkab Marrakech and Wydad AC recent form
Kawkab Marrakech
4W 1D 1L
Wydad AC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kawkab Marrakech at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wydad AC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Kawkab Marrakech at home only, Wydad AC away only.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kawkab Marrakech 0 · draws 1 · Wydad AC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Kawkab Marrakech | 0-0 | Wydad AC | Botola Pro |
| 2025-09-12 | Wydad AC | 1-0 | Kawkab Marrakech | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit 2026-11-06
- Maghreb Fès vs FUS Rabat — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès 2026-11-07
- CR Khemis Zemamra v Widad Témara — match page 2026-11-08
- FAR Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-11-08
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Before and after this match
- Kawkab Marrakech, previous: Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech prediction
- Wydad AC, previous: Wydad AC – Moghreb Tetouan, 2026-10-31