Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès preview
Moghreb Tetouan faces CODM Meknès with a 1X2 probability of 17% for the home team, 27% for a draw, and 56% for the away side. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 13% chance. Moghreb Tetouan's recent form shows 6 matches without a win, while CODM Meknès has 4 wins in their last 6 matches.
The expected goals suggest Moghreb Tetouan will score 0.80, compared to CODM Meknès's 1.65. The chances of Over 2.5 goals sit at 44%, and both teams to score is at 46%. A lack of scoring from Moghreb Tetouan could make predictions challenging, especially given their recent struggles.
Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès: model vs market
| Source | Moghreb Tetouan | Draw | CODM Meknès |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 27% | 56% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 17% | 27% | 56% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Moghreb Tetouan and CODM Meknès expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.44
- Attack rating (Moghreb Tetouan / CODM Meknès)
- 0.75 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Moghreb Tetouan / CODM Meknès)
- 1.37 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Moghreb Tetouan goals. Columns: CODM Meknès goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moghreb Tetouan | 17% | 5.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | |
| CODM Meknès | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.20 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Moghreb Tetouan or draw) | 44% | 2.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or CODM Meknès) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | CODM Meknès win by 2+ | 32% | 3.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Moghreb Tetouan and CODM Meknès recent form
Moghreb Tetouan
0W 3D 3L
CODM Meknès
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Moghreb Tetouan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
CODM Meknès away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Moghreb Tetouan at home only, CODM Meknès away only.
Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknès head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Moghreb Tetouan 0 · draws 1 · CODM Meknès 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-17 | CODM Meknès | 1-0 | Moghreb Tetouan | Botola Pro |
| 2024-09-29 | Moghreb Tetouan | 1-1 | CODM Meknès | Botola Pro |
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Before and after this match
- Moghreb Tetouan, previous: Wydad AC – Moghreb Tetouan, 2026-10-31
- CODM Meknès, previous: CODM Meknès – FAR Rabat, 2026-11-01