Updated

Botola Pro · Matchday 6

FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir

· Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat

Alin prediction Hassania Agadir to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FUS RabatDrawHassania Agadir
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.94.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir preview

FUS Rabat faces Hassania Agadir with a 24% chance of winning compared to Agadir's 46%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 12% probability. FUS Rabat's expected goals stand at 0.94, while Hassania Agadir has a higher figure of 1.39, indicating a potential advantage in offensive output.

Both teams to score has a 47% probability, suggesting a decent chance for goals from both sides. However, FUS Rabat's recent form shows 4 matches without a win, which could impact their performance. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome. This match could see fewer goals than expected if FUS Rabat's struggles continue.

FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFUS RabatDrawHassania Agadir
Model24%30%46%
Market———
Published24%30%46%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.94.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

FUS Rabat and Hassania Agadir expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.94FUS Rabat
1.39Hassania Agadir
Total expected goals
2.33
Attack rating (FUS Rabat / Hassania Agadir)
0.68 / 1.37
Defence rating (FUS Rabat / Hassania Agadir)
0.94 / 1.23

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.0% 12.2% 9.4% 4.3% 2.0% 1 7.9% 14.0% 8.8% 4.1% 1.9% 2 4.3% 6.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9% 3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 4+ 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: FUS Rabat goals. Columns: Hassania Agadir goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 41%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FUS Rabat24%4.12
Draw30%3.36
Hassania Agadir46%2.18
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541%2.42
Under 2.559%1.70
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.12
No53%1.89
Double chance1X (FUS Rabat or draw)54%1.85
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or Hassania Agadir)76%1.32
Handicap -1Hassania Agadir win by 2+23%4.39
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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FUS Rabat and Hassania Agadir recent form

FUS Rabat 0W 3D 3L
Hassania Agadir 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FUS Rabat at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2

Hassania Agadir away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
4.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: FUS Rabat at home only, Hassania Agadir away only.

FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: FUS Rabat 2 · draws 1 · Hassania Agadir 1.

FUS RabatDrawsHassania Agadir
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-06-04Hassania Agadir0-0FUS RabatBotola Pro
2025-11-02FUS Rabat1-2Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
2025-05-08FUS Rabat2-1Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
2024-12-13Hassania Agadir0-1FUS RabatBotola Pro

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Hassania Agadir to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Hassania Agadir