Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction & Betting Tips 31/10/2026

Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech preview

Amal Tiznit faces Kawkab Marrakech with 24% chances for a home win and 47% for an away victory, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Kawkab Marrakech's expected goals of 1.43 compared to Amal Tiznit's 0.95.

While Kawkab Marrakech is in better recent form with three wins in their last five matches, Amal Tiznit has drawn three times in their last five. The model indicates a 42% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance for both teams to score, which could change the dynamics if either team finds their attacking rhythm.

Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Amal Tiznit	Draw	Kawkab Marrakech
Model	22%	29%	49%
Market	—	—	—
Published	22%	29%	49%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.93.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Amal Tiznit and Kawkab Marrakech expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.93Amal Tiznit

1.49Kawkab Marrakech

Total expected goals: 2.42
Attack rating (Amal Tiznit / Kawkab Marrakech): 0.97 / 1.01
Defence rating (Amal Tiznit / Kawkab Marrakech): 1.38 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.1% 12.0% 9.8% 4.9% 2.5% 1 7.0% 13.6% 9.2% 4.6% 2.4% 2 3.9% 5.7% 4.3% 2.1% 1.1% 3 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 4+ 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Amal Tiznit goals. Columns: Kawkab Marrakech goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 71%

Over 2.5 44%

Over 3.5 23%

Both teams to score: 48%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Amal Tiznit	22%	4.47
	Draw	29%	3.49
	Kawkab Marrakech	49%	2.04
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	44%	2.29
	Under 2.5	56%	1.77
Both teams to score	Yes	48%	2.07
	No	52%	1.93
Double chance	1X (Amal Tiznit or draw)	51%	1.96
	12 (either side)	71%	1.40
	X2 (draw or Kawkab Marrakech)	78%	1.29
Handicap -1	Kawkab Marrakech win by 2+	25%	3.93
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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