Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra preview
Ittihad Tanger faces CR Khemis Zemamra with a 57% chance of winning compared to 18% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which reflects Ittihad Tanger's expected goals of 1.82 against 0.94 for CR Khemis Zemamra. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 52%, indicating potential for a higher-scoring match.
However, Ittihad Tanger's recent form includes two losses in their last five matches, while CR Khemis Zemamra has not won in their last five games. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, making it possible for the visitors to upset the predictions. The confidence grade of C suggests some uncertainty in the expected result.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra: model vs market
| Source | Ittihad Tanger | Draw | CR Khemis Zemamra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.75
- Attack rating (Ittihad Tanger / CR Khemis Zemamra)
- 1.17 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Ittihad Tanger / CR Khemis Zemamra)
- 0.96 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ittihad Tanger goals. Columns: CR Khemis Zemamra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ittihad Tanger | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| CR Khemis Zemamra | 18% | 5.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ittihad Tanger or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or CR Khemis Zemamra) | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ittihad Tanger win by 2+ | 33% | 2.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra recent form
Ittihad Tanger
3W 1D 2L
CR Khemis Zemamra
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ittihad Tanger at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
CR Khemis Zemamra away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
League matches this season before kick-off: Ittihad Tanger at home only, CR Khemis Zemamra away only.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Ittihad Tanger 1 · draws 0 · CR Khemis Zemamra 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Ittihad Tanger | 1-0 | CR Khemis Zemamra | Botola Pro |
| 2026-02-08 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 1-0 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 2025-02-23 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 2-0 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 2024-10-23 | Ittihad Tanger | 0-1 | CR Khemis Zemamra | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat 2026-10-30
- Amal Tiznit v Kawkab Marrakech — match page 2026-10-31
- Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-31
- Widad Témara v Maghreb Fès — match page 2026-11-01
- CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat 2026-11-01
- Renaissance Berkane v Raja Casablanca — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Ittihad Tanger, previous: FAR Rabat – Ittihad Tanger, 2026-10-28
- CR Khemis Zemamra, previous: CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat analysis