FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger preview
FAR Rabat faces Ittihad Tanger with a 35% chance of winning compared to Ittihad Tanger's 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.16 for FAR Rabat and 1.15 for Ittihad Tanger.
While FAR Rabat has not lost to Ittihad Tanger in their last 4 encounters, the recent form shows FAR Rabat with 3 draws and 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Ittihad Tanger has 3 wins in their last 6. This could impact the match outcome, making a draw or a win for Ittihad Tanger possible despite the head-to-head record. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 41% and for both teams to score at 48%.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger: model vs market
| Source | FAR Rabat | Draw | Ittihad Tanger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FAR Rabat and Ittihad Tanger expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.31
- Attack rating (FAR Rabat / Ittihad Tanger)
- 1.06 / 1.16
- Defence rating (FAR Rabat / Ittihad Tanger)
- 0.93 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FAR Rabat goals. Columns: Ittihad Tanger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAR Rabat | 35% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Ittihad Tanger | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FAR Rabat or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Ittihad Tanger) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | FAR Rabat win by 2+ | 15% | 6.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FAR Rabat and Ittihad Tanger recent form
FAR Rabat
1W 4D 1L
Ittihad Tanger
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FAR Rabat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
Ittihad Tanger away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: FAR Rabat at home only, Ittihad Tanger away only.
FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: FAR Rabat 1 · draws 3 · Ittihad Tanger 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Ittihad Tanger | 0-0 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2025-10-01 | FAR Rabat | 1-1 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 2025-02-08 | FAR Rabat | 3-2 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 2024-10-06 | Ittihad Tanger | 1-1 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Amal Tiznit v CODM Meknès — match page 2026-10-24
- UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara 2026-10-24
- CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat — match page 2026-10-25
- Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- FAR Rabat, previous: FAR Rabat – Korhogo, 2026-10-25
- Ittihad Tanger, previous: Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès prediction