Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir preview
Raja Casablanca faces Hassania Agadir with a 43% chance for a home win and a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. Raja’s expected goals stand at 1.57, while Hassania’s is lower at 1.30. This suggests Raja may have the upper hand, especially given their recent form of D-D-D-W-W-W compared to Hassania's D-W-L-W-D-L.
However, the match could deviate from expectations. Both teams to score is at 59%, indicating a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net. Additionally, the model shows a 55% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals, which means a high-scoring game is possible. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir: model vs market
| Source | Raja Casablanca | Draw | Hassania Agadir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Raja Casablanca / Hassania Agadir)
- 1.20 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Raja Casablanca / Hassania Agadir)
- 0.81 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Raja Casablanca goals. Columns: Hassania Agadir goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raja Casablanca | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Hassania Agadir | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Raja Casablanca or draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Hassania Agadir) | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | Raja Casablanca win by 2+ | 26% | 3.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir recent form
Raja Casablanca
3W 3D 0L
Hassania Agadir
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Raja Casablanca at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
Hassania Agadir away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Raja Casablanca at home only, Hassania Agadir away only.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Raja Casablanca 4 · draws 0 · Hassania Agadir 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro |
| 2026-03-01 | Hassania Agadir | 0-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2025-04-23 | Raja Casablanca | 1-0 | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro |
| 2024-12-01 | Hassania Agadir | 1-3 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
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- UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara 2026-10-24
- CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat — match page 2026-10-25
- Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FAR Rabat v Ittihad Tanger — match page 2026-10-28
- Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Raja Casablanca, previous: Raja Casablanca v El Kanemi Warriors analysis
- Hassania Agadir, previous: Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat prediction