UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	UTS Rabat	Draw	Wydad AC
Model	53%	31%	16%
Market	—	—	—
Published	53%	31%	16%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.61.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

UTS Rabat and Wydad AC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.33UTS Rabat

0.61Wydad AC

Total expected goals: 1.95
Attack rating (UTS Rabat / Wydad AC): 1.00 / 0.84
Defence rating (UTS Rabat / Wydad AC): 0.69 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 15.4% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 1 17.9% 12.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 2 12.7% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 3 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: UTS Rabat goals. Columns: Wydad AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%

Over 1.5 59%

Over 2.5 31%

Over 3.5 13%

Both teams to score: 35%
No goals (0–0): 15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	UTS Rabat	53%	1.88
	Draw	31%	3.24
	Wydad AC	16%	6.27
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	31%	3.23
	Under 2.5	69%	1.45
Both teams to score	Yes	35%	2.86
	No	65%	1.54
Double chance	1X (UTS Rabat or draw)	84%	1.19
	12 (either side)	69%	1.45
	X2 (draw or Wydad AC)	47%	2.14
Handicap -1	UTS Rabat win by 2+	26%	3.80
	Push (exactly one goal)	27%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

UTS Rabat and Wydad AC recent form

UTS Rabat 3W 2D 1L

Wydad AC 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

UTS Rabat at home

Record (W-D-L): 1-1-0
Win rate: 50%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 0.50
Clean sheets: 1 of 2

Wydad AC away

Record (W-D-L): 1-0-0
Win rate: 100%
Goals for / match: 2.00
Goals against / match: 0.00
Clean sheets: 1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: UTS Rabat at home only, Wydad AC away only.

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: UTS Rabat 1 · draws 3 · Wydad AC 4.

12% 38% 50%

UTS RabatDrawsWydad AC

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-07-05	Wydad AC	1-2	UTS Rabat	Botola Pro
2026-03-08	UTS Rabat	3-4	Wydad AC	Botola Pro
2025-01-12	Wydad AC	2-1	UTS Rabat	Botola Pro
2024-09-20	UTS Rabat	1-1	Wydad AC	Botola Pro
2024-03-09	Wydad AC	0-0	UTS Rabat	Botola Pro
2023-12-12	UTS Rabat	0-1	Wydad AC	Botola Pro
2023-04-15	UTS Rabat	1-2	Wydad AC	Botola Pro
2022-11-06	Wydad AC	0-0	UTS Rabat	Botola Pro

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Amal Tiznit v CODM Meknès — match page 2026-10-24
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara 2026-10-24
CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat — match page 2026-10-25
Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-28
FAR Rabat v Ittihad Tanger — match page 2026-10-28
Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane — team news & stats 2026-10-29

Before and after this match

UTS Rabat, previous: CODM Meknès – UTS Rabat, 2026-10-17
UTS Rabat, next: Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat: odds and pick
Wydad AC, previous: Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit prediction
Wydad AC, next: Wydad AC – Moghreb Tetouan, 2026-10-31