Updated

Botola Pro · Matchday 5

CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat

· Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri, Zemamra

Alin prediction CR Khemis Zemamra to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CR Khemis ZemamraDrawFUS Rabat
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat preview

In the upcoming match between CR Khemis Zemamra and FUS Rabat, the 1X2 probabilities show CR Khemis Zemamra at 35%, with both a draw and FUS Rabat at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, predicted at 12%. This suggests a tight contest, but the low expected goals of 1.06 for CR Khemis Zemamra and 1.02 for FUS Rabat indicate that a lack of scoring opportunities could lead to a different outcome.

While the model suggests a 34% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, recent form reveals CR Khemis Zemamra with D-L-L-L-D-D and FUS Rabat with D-D-L-L-L-D. This inconsistency could impact the match, making it difficult to predict the final result confidently.

CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCR Khemis ZemamraDrawFUS Rabat
Model35%33%33%
Market———
Published35%33%33%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

CR Khemis Zemamra and FUS Rabat expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.06CR Khemis Zemamra
1.02FUS Rabat
Total expected goals
2.07
Attack rating (CR Khemis Zemamra / FUS Rabat)
0.98 / 0.68
Defence rating (CR Khemis Zemamra / FUS Rabat)
1.41 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.9% 11.4% 6.5% 2.2% 0.7% 1 11.9% 14.9% 6.9% 2.3% 0.7% 2 7.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.4% 3 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: CR Khemis Zemamra goals. Columns: FUS Rabat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 34%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
43%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CR Khemis Zemamra35%2.89
Draw33%3.04
FUS Rabat33%3.07
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534%2.92
Under 2.566%1.52
Both teams to scoreYes43%2.33
No57%1.75
Double chance1X (CR Khemis Zemamra or draw)67%1.48
12 (either side)67%1.49
X2 (draw or FUS Rabat)65%1.53
Handicap -1CR Khemis Zemamra win by 2+14%7.09
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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CR Khemis Zemamra and FUS Rabat recent form

CR Khemis Zemamra 0W 3D 3L
FUS Rabat 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CR Khemis Zemamra at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
5.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

FUS Rabat away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: CR Khemis Zemamra at home only, FUS Rabat away only.

CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: CR Khemis Zemamra 1 · draws 1 · FUS Rabat 2.

CR Khemis ZemamraDrawsFUS Rabat
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-02CR Khemis Zemamra1-1FUS RabatBotola Pro
2026-03-01FUS Rabat3-2CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
2025-02-28FUS Rabat3-0CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
2024-10-27CR Khemis Zemamra3-1FUS RabatBotola Pro

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot CR Khemis Zemamra to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on CR Khemis Zemamra