Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara preview
Moghreb Tetouan faces Widad Témara with 31% chances for a home win and 36% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.98 for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.09 for Widad Témara.
Both teams to score stands at 43%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 34%. Moghreb Tetouan's recent form shows 5 matches without a win (L-D-D-D-L-L), while Widad Témara has a mixed recent record with 1 win and 3 losses (L-L-L-W). The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara: model vs market
| Source | Moghreb Tetouan | Draw | Widad Témara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 33% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 33% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Moghreb Tetouan and Widad Témara expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.07
- Attack rating (Moghreb Tetouan / Widad Témara)
- 0.90 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Moghreb Tetouan / Widad Témara)
- 1.26 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Moghreb Tetouan goals. Columns: Widad Témara goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moghreb Tetouan | 31% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Widad Témara | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| No | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Moghreb Tetouan or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| X2 (draw or Widad Témara) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Widad Témara win by 2+ | 15% | 6.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Moghreb Tetouan and Widad Témara recent form
Moghreb Tetouan
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Moghreb Tetouan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
Widad Témara away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Moghreb Tetouan at home only, Widad Témara away only.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
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- UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat — match page 2026-10-25
- Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir 2026-10-28
- FAR Rabat v Ittihad Tanger — match page 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Moghreb Tetouan, previous: Difaa EL Jadida v Moghreb Tetouan analysis
- Widad Témara, previous: Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech: odds and pick