Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman preview

In the CAF Champions League fixture between Sidama Bunna and Al Hilal Omdurman, the 1X2 probabilities show Sidama Bunna at 48%, a draw at 34%, and Al Hilal Omdurman at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 18%.

Sidama Bunna has an expected goals figure of 1.15, while Al Hilal Omdurman has 0.62. With only 26% for Over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, the match could be low-scoring. However, if Al Hilal Omdurman improves their recent form, which includes two wins and three losses in their last six matches, they could challenge Sidama Bunna's advantage.

Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Sidama Bunna	Draw	Al Hilal Omdurman
Model	48%	34%	18%
Market	—	—	—
Published	48%	34%	18%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.62.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Sidama Bunna and Al Hilal Omdurman expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.15Sidama Bunna

0.62Al Hilal Omdurman

Total expected goals: 1.77
Attack rating (Sidama Bunna / Al Hilal Omdurman): 1.16 / 1.18
Defence rating (Sidama Bunna / Al Hilal Omdurman): 0.71 / 0.77

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 18.3% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 1 18.5% 13.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 2 11.3% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 3 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Sidama Bunna goals. Columns: Al Hilal Omdurman goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 82%

Over 1.5 54%

Over 2.5 26%

Over 3.5 10%

Both teams to score: 33%
No goals (0–0): 18%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Sidama Bunna	48%	2.10
	Draw	34%	2.95
	Al Hilal Omdurman	18%	5.42
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	26%	3.83
	Under 2.5	74%	1.35
Both teams to score	Yes	33%	3.06
	No	67%	1.48
Double chance	1X (Sidama Bunna or draw)	82%	1.23
	12 (either side)	66%	1.51
	X2 (draw or Al Hilal Omdurman)	52%	1.91
Handicap -1	Sidama Bunna win by 2+	21%	4.69
	Push (exactly one goal)	26%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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