CFFA vs Young Africans Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

CFFA vs Young Africans preview

In the CAF Champions League fixture between CFFA and Young Africans, the 1X2 probabilities show CFFA at 22%, a draw at 32%, and Young Africans at 46%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 15% chance. Young Africans have strong recent form, winning 5 of their last 6 matches, while CFFA has drawn and won their last two games.

The expected goals are 0.77 for CFFA and 1.25 for Young Africans, indicating a potential for a low-scoring match. The model suggests a 33% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance for both teams to score. However, if CFFA can improve their attacking output, they might challenge the expected outcomes.

CFFA vs Young Africans: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	CFFA	Draw	Young Africans
Model	22%	32%	46%
Market	—	—	—
Published	22%	32%	46%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.77.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

CFFA and Young Africans expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.77CFFA

1.25Young Africans

Total expected goals: 2.02
Attack rating (CFFA / Young Africans): 1.13 / 1.98
Defence rating (CFFA / Young Africans): 0.86 / 0.53

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CFFA vs Young Africans score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 14.6% 15.3% 10.4% 4.3% 1.8% 1 8.9% 14.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.4% 2 3.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 3 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: CFFA goals. Columns: Young Africans goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CFFA vs Young Africans goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%

Over 1.5 61%

Over 2.5 33%

Over 3.5 15%

Both teams to score: 40%
No goals (0–0): 15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CFFA vs Young Africans

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	CFFA	22%	4.64
	Draw	32%	3.12
	Young Africans	46%	2.15
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	33%	3.05
	Under 2.5	67%	1.49
Both teams to score	Yes	40%	2.53
	No	60%	1.65
Double chance	1X (CFFA or draw)	54%	1.87
	12 (either side)	68%	1.47
	X2 (draw or Young Africans)	78%	1.28
Handicap -1	Young Africans win by 2+	22%	4.60
	Push (exactly one goal)	25%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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