Young Africans vs CFFA: model vs market
| Source | Young Africans | Draw | CFFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 89% | 8% | 2% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| Published | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.22 vs 0.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Young Africans below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Young Africans vs CFFA odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Young Africans, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 1.04 | 1.00 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 8.40 | 10.00 | +1.60 |
| CFFA | 17.00 | 17.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Young Africans and CFFA expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.69
- Attack rating (Young Africans / CFFA)
- 2.00 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Young Africans / CFFA)
- 0.62 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Young Africans vs CFFA score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Young Africans goals. Columns: CFFA goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Young Africans vs CFFA goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Young Africans vs CFFA
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 87% | 1.15 |
| Draw | 9% | 11.68 | |
| CFFA | 4% | 22.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.78 |
| No | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Young Africans or draw) | 96% | 1.05 |
| 12 (either side) | 91% | 1.09 | |
| X2 (draw or CFFA) | 13% | 7.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win by 2+ | 73% | 1.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Young Africans and CFFA recent form
Young Africans
4W 1D 1L
CFFA
1W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Young Africans at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
CFFA away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Young Africans at home only, CFFA away only.
Young Africans vs CFFA head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Young Africans 1 · draws 0 · CFFA 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | CFFA | 0-4 | Young Africans | CAF Champions League |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- APR vs Zamalek SC 2026-10-16
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates 2026-10-17
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page 2026-10-17
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page 2026-10-17
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou 2026-10-17
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Young Africans, previous: CFFA vs Young Africans prediction
- Young Africans, next: Tabora United vs Young Africans prediction
- CFFA, previous: CFFA vs Young Africans prediction