Tabora United vs Young Africans Prediction & Betting Tips 13/10/2026

Tabora United vs Young Africans: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Tabora United	Draw	Young Africans
Model	14%	29%	57%
Market	—	—	—
Published	14%	29%	57%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.61.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Tabora United and Young Africans expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.61Tabora United

1.46Young Africans

Total expected goals: 2.08
Attack rating (Tabora United / Young Africans): 0.91 / 1.81
Defence rating (Tabora United / Young Africans): 0.90 / 0.50

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Tabora United vs Young Africans score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.7% 17.3% 13.5% 6.6% 3.3% 1 6.5% 12.3% 8.2% 4.0% 2.0% 2 2.3% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 4+ 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Tabora United goals. Columns: Young Africans goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Tabora United vs Young Africans goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%

Over 1.5 63%

Over 2.5 34%

Over 3.5 16%

Both teams to score: 36%
No goals (0–0): 14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Tabora United vs Young Africans

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Tabora United	14%	6.98
	Draw	29%	3.47
	Young Africans	57%	1.76
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	34%	2.91
	Under 2.5	66%	1.52
Both teams to score	Yes	36%	2.76
	No	64%	1.57
Double chance	1X (Tabora United or draw)	43%	2.32
	12 (either side)	71%	1.40
	X2 (draw or Young Africans)	86%	1.17
Handicap -1	Young Africans win by 2+	30%	3.32
	Push (exactly one goal)	27%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Tabora United and Young Africans recent form

Tabora United 1W 3D 2L

Young Africans 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Tabora United at home

Record (W-D-L): 0-1-1
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 0.00
Goals against / match: 0.50
Clean sheets: 1 of 2

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Young Africans away

Record (W-D-L): 2-0-0
Win rate: 100%
Goals for / match: 2.50
Goals against / match: 0.50
Clean sheets: 1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Tabora United at home only, Young Africans away only.

Tabora United vs Young Africans head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Tabora United 0 · draws 1 · Young Africans 1.

0% 50% 50%

Tabora UnitedDrawsYoung Africans

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-06-27	Young Africans	3-0	Tabora United	Tanzania Premier League
2026-03-18	Tabora United	0-0	Young Africans	Tanzania Premier League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

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Simba vs Mashujaa 2026-10-13

Prediction snapshot Young Africans to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Young Africans