Updated

Tanzania Premier League · Matchday 8

Tabora United vs Young Africans

· Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was Young Africans to win

Cmodel only, no market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Tabora UnitedDrawYoung Africans

Tabora United vs Young Africans: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTabora UnitedDrawYoung Africans
Model14%27%59%
Market———
Published14%27%59%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.66.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Tabora United and Young Africans expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.66Tabora United
1.60Young Africans
Total expected goals
2.25
Attack rating (Tabora United / Young Africans)
0.77 / 1.96
Defence rating (Tabora United / Young Africans)
0.90 / 0.64

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Tabora United vs Young Africans score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.6% 15.7% 13.4% 7.1% 4.1% 1 5.8% 12.1% 8.8% 4.7% 2.7% 2 2.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.9% 3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 4+ 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Tabora United goals. Columns: Young Africans goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Tabora United vs Young Africans goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
40%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Tabora United vs Young Africans

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Tabora United14%7.11
Draw27%3.71
Young Africans59%1.70
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.55
Under 2.561%1.64
Both teams to scoreYes40%2.53
No60%1.65
Double chance1X (Tabora United or draw)41%2.44
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Young Africans)86%1.16
Handicap -1Young Africans win by 2+33%3.05
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Tabora United and Young Africans recent form

Tabora United 1W 2D 3L
Young Africans 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Tabora United at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Young Africans away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Tabora United at home only, Young Africans away only.

Tabora United vs Young Africans head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Tabora United 1 · draws 1 · Young Africans 4.

Tabora UnitedDrawsYoung Africans
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-06-27Young Africans3-0Tabora UnitedTanzania Premier League
2026-03-18Tabora United0-0Young AfricansTanzania Premier League
2025-04-02Tabora United0-3Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara
2024-11-07Young Africans1-3Tabora UnitedLigi kuu Bara
2024-05-25Young Africans3-0Tabora UnitedLigi kuu Bara
2023-12-23Tabora United0-1Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match