Young Africans vs Mashujaa preview
In the Tanzania Premier League, Young Africans have an 89% chance to win against Mashujaa, who have only a 3% chance. The most likely scoreline is 3-0, with a 14% probability. Young Africans are expected to score 3.25 goals, while Mashujaa is projected at just 0.50 goals.
Young Africans' recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Mashujaa has only 2 wins in their last 6. Although the model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 72%, the 38% chance for both teams to score suggests that Mashujaa may struggle to find the net. A draw is also unlikely, given the head-to-head record where Young Africans have won both previous encounters.
Young Africans vs Mashujaa: model vs market
| Source | Young Africans | Draw | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.15 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Young Africans and Mashujaa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.66
- Attack rating (Young Africans / Mashujaa)
- 1.76 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Young Africans / Mashujaa)
- 0.60 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Young Africans vs Mashujaa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Young Africans goals. Columns: Mashujaa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Young Africans vs Mashujaa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Young Africans vs Mashujaa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 88% | 1.14 |
| Draw | 9% | 10.56 | |
| Mashujaa | 3% | 34.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.60 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Young Africans or draw) | 97% | 1.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 91% | 1.10 | |
| X2 (draw or Mashujaa) | 12% | 8.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win by 2+ | 71% | 1.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Young Africans and Mashujaa recent form
Young Africans
4W 1D 1L
Mashujaa
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Young Africans at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Mashujaa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Young Africans at home only, Mashujaa away only.
Young Africans vs Mashujaa head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Young Africans 6 · draws 0 · Mashujaa 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Mashujaa | 0-2 | Young Africans | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-01-19 | Young Africans | 6-0 | Mashujaa | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-02-23 | Mashujaa | 0-5 | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-12-19 | Young Africans | 3-2 | Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-05-05 | Mashujaa | 0-1 | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-02-08 | Young Africans | 2-1 | Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania 2026-10-27
- Fountain Gate v Simba — match page 2026-10-28
- Azam vs Mbeya City — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar 2026-10-28
- Pamba Jiji v Singida Black Stars — match page 2026-10-29
- Tabora United v Geita Gold — match page 2026-10-29
- Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Young Africans, previous: Dodoma Jiji – Young Africans, 2026-10-24
- Mashujaa, previous: Azam vs Mashujaa prediction