Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars preview
In the upcoming match between Pamba Jiji and Singida Black Stars, the model gives Singida Black Stars a 51% chance to win compared to Pamba Jiji's 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The model also suggests a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 68%.
Pamba Jiji's recent form shows 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while Singida Black Stars has 3 wins in their last 6. If Pamba Jiji can improve their performance, they might challenge the predicted outcome. However, their low confidence grade of C indicates uncertainty in their ability to secure a positive result.
Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars: model vs market
| Source | Pamba Jiji | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Pamba Jiji and Singida Black Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.49
- Attack rating (Pamba Jiji / Singida Black Stars)
- 1.08 / 1.68
- Defence rating (Pamba Jiji / Singida Black Stars)
- 1.34 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pamba Jiji goals. Columns: Singida Black Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pamba Jiji | 27% | 3.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Singida Black Stars | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pamba Jiji or draw) | 50% | 2.01 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Singida Black Stars) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win by 2+ | 30% | 3.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pamba Jiji and Singida Black Stars recent form
Pamba Jiji
1W 2D 3L
Singida Black Stars
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pamba Jiji at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Singida Black Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pamba Jiji at home only, Singida Black Stars away only.
Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Pamba Jiji 0 · draws 1 · Singida Black Stars 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Singida Black Stars | 3-1 | Pamba Jiji | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-11-08 | Pamba Jiji | 1-1 | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Young Africans vs Mashujaa — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania 2026-10-27
- Fountain Gate v Simba — match page 2026-10-28
- Azam vs Mbeya City — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar 2026-10-28
- Tabora United v Geita Gold — match page 2026-10-29
- Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Pamba Jiji, previous: Polisi Tanzania v Pamba Jiji analysis
- Singida Black Stars, previous: Singida Black Stars v Tusker analysis