Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania preview
In the Tanzania Premier League fixture, Dodoma Jiji has a 49% chance to win against JKT Tanzania, who sit at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability. Dodoma Jiji's expected goals are 1.44, while JKT Tanzania's are lower at 0.88.
Both teams to score stands at 46%, indicating a moderate chance of both teams finding the net. However, JKT Tanzania's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, which could challenge Dodoma Jiji's home advantage. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania: model vs market
| Source | Dodoma Jiji | Draw | JKT Tanzania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 31% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.85.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dodoma Jiji and JKT Tanzania expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Dodoma Jiji / JKT Tanzania)
- 0.88 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Dodoma Jiji / JKT Tanzania)
- 0.85 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dodoma Jiji goals. Columns: JKT Tanzania goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dodoma Jiji | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 | |
| JKT Tanzania | 23% | 4.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.34 |
| No | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dodoma Jiji or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or JKT Tanzania) | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dodoma Jiji win by 2+ | 22% | 4.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dodoma Jiji and JKT Tanzania recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dodoma Jiji at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
JKT Tanzania away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dodoma Jiji at home only, JKT Tanzania away only.
Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Dodoma Jiji 5 · draws 3 · JKT Tanzania 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Dodoma Jiji | 0-0 | JKT Tanzania | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-01-30 | JKT Tanzania | 0-1 | Dodoma Jiji | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-04-03 | JKT Tanzania | 2-2 | Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-10-26 | Dodoma Jiji | 1-0 | JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2024-04-16 | Dodoma Jiji | 0-0 | JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2023-10-30 | JKT Tanzania | 0-1 | Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2021-02-14 | Dodoma Jiji | 2-1 | JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| 2020-09-12 | JKT Tanzania | 0-2 | Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Young Africans vs Mashujaa — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- Fountain Gate v Simba — match page 2026-10-28
- Azam vs Mbeya City — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar 2026-10-28
- Pamba Jiji v Singida Black Stars — match page 2026-10-29
- Tabora United v Geita Gold — match page 2026-10-29
- Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Dodoma Jiji, previous: Dodoma Jiji – Young Africans, 2026-10-24
- Dodoma Jiji, next: Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji prediction
- JKT Tanzania, previous: JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar: odds and pick
- JKT Tanzania, next: JKT Tanzania vs Azam: odds and pick