Updated

Tanzania Premier League · Matchday 10

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania

· Jamhuri Stadium

Alin prediction Dodoma Jiji to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Dodoma JijiDrawJKT Tanzania
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.85.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania preview

In the Tanzania Premier League fixture, Dodoma Jiji has a 49% chance to win against JKT Tanzania, who sit at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability. Dodoma Jiji's expected goals are 1.44, while JKT Tanzania's are lower at 0.88.

Both teams to score stands at 46%, indicating a moderate chance of both teams finding the net. However, JKT Tanzania's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, which could challenge Dodoma Jiji's home advantage. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDodoma JijiDrawJKT Tanzania
Model45%31%23%
Market———
Published45%31%23%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.85.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Dodoma Jiji and JKT Tanzania expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.29Dodoma Jiji
0.85JKT Tanzania
Total expected goals
2.14
Attack rating (Dodoma Jiji / JKT Tanzania)
0.88 / 1.10
Defence rating (Dodoma Jiji / JKT Tanzania)
0.85 / 1.09

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.1% 8.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 1 13.9% 14.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 2 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3% 3 4.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: Dodoma Jiji goals. Columns: JKT Tanzania goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 36%
Over 3.5 17%
Both teams to score
43%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Dodoma Jiji45%2.20
Draw31%3.20
JKT Tanzania23%4.29
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536%2.77
Under 2.564%1.57
Both teams to scoreYes43%2.34
No57%1.75
Double chance1X (Dodoma Jiji or draw)77%1.30
12 (either side)69%1.45
X2 (draw or JKT Tanzania)55%1.83
Handicap -1Dodoma Jiji win by 2+22%4.63
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Dodoma Jiji and JKT Tanzania recent form

Dodoma Jiji 4W 1D 1L
JKT Tanzania 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Dodoma Jiji at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

JKT Tanzania away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: Dodoma Jiji at home only, JKT Tanzania away only.

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Dodoma Jiji 5 · draws 3 · JKT Tanzania 0.

Dodoma JijiDrawsJKT Tanzania
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-06-24Dodoma Jiji0-0JKT TanzaniaTanzania Premier League
2026-01-30JKT Tanzania0-1Dodoma JijiTanzania Premier League
2025-04-03JKT Tanzania2-2Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara
2024-10-26Dodoma Jiji1-0JKT TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara
2024-04-16Dodoma Jiji0-0JKT TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara
2023-10-30JKT Tanzania0-1Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara
2021-02-14Dodoma Jiji2-1JKT TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara
2020-09-12JKT Tanzania0-2Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Dodoma Jiji to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Dodoma Jiji