JKT Tanzania vs Azam preview
In the Tanzania Premier League fixture between JKT Tanzania and Azam, the 1X2 probabilities show Azam at 41%, while JKT Tanzania is at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% chance of occurring. JKT Tanzania has an expected goals figure of 1.10, compared to Azam's 1.36, suggesting Azam may have the edge in creating chances.
While both teams to score has a probability of 51%, meaning there is a decent chance both sides will find the net, the recent form shows JKT Tanzania with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Azam has 4 wins in the same period. This could impact the outcome, making it vital to consider their current performances.
JKT Tanzania vs Azam: model vs market
| Source | JKT Tanzania | Draw | Azam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
JKT Tanzania and Azam expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.27
- Attack rating (JKT Tanzania / Azam)
- 1.10 / 1.22
- Defence rating (JKT Tanzania / Azam)
- 1.09 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
JKT Tanzania vs Azam score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: JKT Tanzania goals. Columns: Azam goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
JKT Tanzania vs Azam goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for JKT Tanzania vs Azam
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JKT Tanzania | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Azam | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (JKT Tanzania or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Azam) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Azam win by 2+ | 17% | 5.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
JKT Tanzania and Azam recent form
JKT Tanzania
5W 0D 1L
Azam
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
JKT Tanzania at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Azam away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: JKT Tanzania at home only, Azam away only.
JKT Tanzania vs Azam head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: JKT Tanzania 0 · draws 1 · Azam 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Azam | 3-0 | JKT Tanzania | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-10-01 | JKT Tanzania | 1-1 | Azam | Tanzania Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
- JKT Tanzania, previous: Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania prediction
- Azam, previous: Azam v Mbeya City analysis