Tabora United vs Fountain Gate preview
In the match between Tabora United and Fountain Gate, the 1X2 probabilities show Tabora United at 50% to win, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 (20%). Tabora United has an expected goals figure of 1.18, while Fountain Gate sits at 0.55.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 31%, indicating a chance that Fountain Gate may find the net. Additionally, Tabora United's recent form shows mixed results, with three draws in their last five matches, which could impact their performance.
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate: model vs market
| Source | Tabora United | Draw | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 33% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 50% | 33% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Tabora United and Fountain Gate expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.74
- Attack rating (Tabora United / Fountain Gate)
- 0.70 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Tabora United / Fountain Gate)
- 0.82 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tabora United goals. Columns: Fountain Gate goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 31%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tabora United vs Fountain Gate
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tabora United | 50% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Fountain Gate | 16% | 6.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 3.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31% | 3.27 |
| No | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tabora United or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Fountain Gate) | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tabora United win by 2+ | 23% | 4.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Tabora United and Fountain Gate recent form
Tabora United
1W 3D 2L
Fountain Gate
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tabora United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Fountain Gate away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tabora United at home only, Fountain Gate away only.
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Tabora United 1 · draws 0 · Fountain Gate 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Tabora United | 1-2 | Fountain Gate | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-02-26 | Fountain Gate | 1-4 | Tabora United | Tanzania Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- JKT Tanzania v Azam — match page 2026-10-31
- Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold 2026-11-01
- Young Africans v Kagera Sugar — match page 2026-11-01
- Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars 2026-11-02
- Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji 2026-11-02
- Simba v Namungo — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Tabora United, previous: Tabora United vs Geita Gold prediction
- Fountain Gate, previous: Fountain Gate – Simba, 2026-10-28