Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars preview
In the Tanzania Premier League, Mbeya City faces Singida Black Stars with a 1X2 probability of 33% for Mbeya City, 30% for a draw, and 37% for Singida Black Stars. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects Singida's stronger recent form, highlighted by their 1.27 expected goals compared to Mbeya City's 1.18.
Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. However, Mbeya City's recent form shows 3 losses in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance. Singida Black Stars, with 2 wins in their last 5, may capitalize on Mbeya's struggles, making the outcome less predictable.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: model vs market
| Source | Mbeya City | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.45
- Attack rating (Mbeya City / Singida Black Stars)
- 0.87 / 1.53
- Defence rating (Mbeya City / Singida Black Stars)
- 0.92 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mbeya City goals. Columns: Singida Black Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mbeya City | 33% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Singida Black Stars | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mbeya City or draw) | 63% | 1.60 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Singida Black Stars) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win by 2+ | 17% | 5.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars recent form
Mbeya City
2W 1D 3L
Singida Black Stars
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mbeya City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Singida Black Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mbeya City at home only, Singida Black Stars away only.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Mbeya City 0 · draws 0 · Singida Black Stars 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Singida Black Stars | 4-1 | Mbeya City | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-03-15 | Mbeya City | 1-4 | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- JKT Tanzania v Azam — match page 2026-10-31
- Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Polisi Tanzania vs Geita Gold 2026-11-01
- Young Africans v Kagera Sugar — match page 2026-11-01
- Tabora United vs Fountain Gate — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji 2026-11-02
- Simba v Namungo — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Mbeya City, previous: Azam v Mbeya City analysis
- Singida Black Stars, previous: Pamba Jiji v Singida Black Stars analysis