Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji preview
Coastal Union faces Dodoma Jiji with a 38% chance to win compared to Dodoma Jiji's 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring 14% of the time according to our model. Coastal Union's expected goals stand at 1.07, while Dodoma Jiji's is lower at 0.89.
However, there are factors that could change this outcome. The probability for Over 2.5 goals is 31%, indicating that scoring may be limited. Additionally, both teams to score sits at 40%, suggesting that while Coastal Union has a slight edge, Dodoma Jiji could still find the net. Recent form shows Coastal Union with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Dodoma Jiji has 4 wins in their last 6.
Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji: model vs market
| Source | Coastal Union | Draw | Dodoma Jiji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 34% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 34% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.96
- Attack rating (Coastal Union / Dodoma Jiji)
- 0.93 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Coastal Union / Dodoma Jiji)
- 1.12 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Coastal Union goals. Columns: Dodoma Jiji goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coastal Union | 38% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Dodoma Jiji | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.50 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Coastal Union or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| X2 (draw or Dodoma Jiji) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Coastal Union win by 2+ | 16% | 6.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji recent form
Coastal Union
3W 0D 3L
Dodoma Jiji
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Coastal Union at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Dodoma Jiji away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Coastal Union at home only, Dodoma Jiji away only.
Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Coastal Union 1 · draws 0 · Dodoma Jiji 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Coastal Union | 3-1 | Dodoma Jiji | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2025-09-27 | Dodoma Jiji | 2-0 | Coastal Union | Tanzania Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- JKT Tanzania v Azam — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Coastal Union, previous: Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar: odds and pick
- Dodoma Jiji, previous: Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania prediction