Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane Prediction & Betting Tips 16/10/2026

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane preview

In the CAF Champions League fixture, Star Sport Academy has a 36% chance of winning against Renaissance Berkane, who has a 29% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Star Sport Academy's expected goals stand at 1.00, while Renaissance Berkane's is slightly lower at 0.87.

The prediction could be challenged if both teams manage to score, as the probability for "both teams to score" is 38%. Additionally, the likelihood of "Over 2.5 goals" is only 29%, suggesting a low-scoring match. Star Sport Academy's recent form shows two draws, while Renaissance Berkane has mixed results with two wins and a loss in their last five matches.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Star Sport Academy	Draw	Renaissance Berkane
Model	36%	35%	29%
Market	6%	15%	79%
Published	14%	20%	67%
Edge	+30%	+20%	-50%

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.12, recorded 2026-10-10 — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update.

Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.00Star Sport Academy

0.87Renaissance Berkane

Total expected goals: 1.87
Attack rating (Star Sport Academy / Renaissance Berkane): 0.86 / 1.38
Defence rating (Star Sport Academy / Renaissance Berkane): 0.86 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 16.7% 12.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 1 14.1% 14.7% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 2 7.7% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 3 2.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Star Sport Academy goals. Columns: Renaissance Berkane goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 83%

Over 1.5 57%

Over 2.5 29%

Over 3.5 12%

Both teams to score: 38%
No goals (0–0): 17%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Star Sport Academy	14%	7.33
	Draw	20%	5.09
	Renaissance Berkane	67%	1.50
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	29%	3.47
	Under 2.5	71%	1.41
Both teams to score	Yes	38%	2.63
	No	62%	1.62
Double chance	1X (Star Sport Academy or draw)	33%	3.01
	12 (either side)	80%	1.24
	X2 (draw or Renaissance Berkane)	86%	1.16
Handicap -1	Renaissance Berkane win by 2+	10%	9.69
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer