Uganda · 2026/27 season

Uganda Premier League Football Predictions

BUL leads the Uganda Premier League with 12 points after 32 matches played this season. The league averages 2.03 goals per match, with 38% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 38% seeing both teams score. A lower scoring game or a strong defensive performance could make predictions based on these statistics less reliable.

Teams 18 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 32 of 153 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 14 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 20 so far this season

Upcoming Uganda Premier League fixtures

14 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 46 more scheduled later this season.

Uganda Premier League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Maroons vs LugaziUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League MaroonsOur prob 49% — 49% — C —
Kitara vs Kigezi HomeBoyzUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KitaraOur prob 70% — 70% — C —
Ntugasaze vs Mbarara CityUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Mbarara CityOur prob 37% — 37% — C —
Kataka vs SC VillaUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League SC VillaOur prob 62% — 62% — C —
UPDF vs BULUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League BULOur prob 35% — 35% — C —
Blacks Power vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League VipersOur prob 37% — 37% — C —
NEC vs ExpressUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League NECOur prob 62% — 62% — C —
Entebbe UPPC vs PoliceUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
URA vs KCCAUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KCCAOur prob 35% — 35% — C —
Kataka vs KitaraUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KitaraOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Vipers vs MaroonsUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League VipersOur prob 71% — 71% — C —
Mbarara City vs Blacks PowerUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Blacks PowerOur prob 35% — 35% — C —
Lugazi vs BULUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League BULOur prob 41% — 41% — C —
Ntugasaze vs KCCAUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KCCAOur prob 56% — 56% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Uganda Premier League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Uganda Premier League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 BUL 4 400 113 +8 12
2 NEC 4 310 92 +7 10
3 SC Villa 4 310 71 +6 10
4 Blacks Power 4 301 53 +2 9
5 Police 4 211 31 +2 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 211 32 +1 7
7 Lugazi 4 202 46 -2 6
8 UPDF 4 121 22 0 5
9 Express 4 112 34 -1 4
10 KCCA 4 112 14 -3 4
11 Vipers 2 101 31 +2 3
12 Maroons 4 103 56 -1 3
13 URA 3 102 36 -3 3
14 Kitara 2 020 22 0 2
15 Mbarara City 3 021 01 -1 2
16 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 012 15 -4 1
17 Kataka 3 012 15 -4 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 004 211 -9 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Uganda Premier League trends

How Uganda Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 32 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 50% 16 of 32 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (237)
Away wins 28% 9 of 32 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (237)
Over 2.5 goals 38% 12 of 32 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (237)
Both teams scored 38% 12 of 32 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (237)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (237 played matches).

Top Uganda Premier League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.01
Attack
1.64
Defence
0.63
Form NextKataka (A) · 7 Oct
#2
Net rating
+0.73
Attack
1.27
Defence
0.54
Form NextBlacks Power (A) · 8 Oct
#3
Net rating
+0.51
Attack
1.29
Defence
0.78
Form NextExpress (H) · 8 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent Uganda Premier League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Uganda Premier League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Vipers vs Ntugasaze — — 3–0 no pick
Express vs Kitara — — 1–1 no pick
UPDF vs Maroons — — 1–0 no pick
KCCA vs Kataka — — 1–0 no pick
Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC — — 0–0 no pick
Lugazi vs Police — — 0–2 no pick

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.