Updated

Uganda · 2026/27 season

Uganda Premier League Football Predictions

In the Uganda Premier League, BUL currently has 19 points after 58 matches played in the 2026/27 season. With an average of 2.16 goals per match, 40% of games have gone over 2.5 goals, and 36% have seen both teams score. Results could vary if teams struggle to find the net or if defensive performances improve.

Teams 18 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 58 of 153 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 18 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 56 so far this season

Upcoming Uganda Premier League fixtures

18 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 42 more scheduled later this season.

Uganda Premier League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
SC Villa vs Blacks PowerUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League SC VillaOur prob 86% — 86% — C —
Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyzUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League PoliceOur prob 50% — 50% — C —
UPDF vs URAUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League UPDFOur prob 43% — 43% — C —
NEC vs NtugasazeUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League NECOur prob 77% — 77% — C —
Express vs KatakaUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League ExpressOur prob 63% — 63% — C —
Mbarara City vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League VipersOur prob 64% — 64% — C —
Kitara vs BULUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League BULOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
Entebbe UPPC vs MaroonsUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCOur prob 57% — 57% — C —
KCCA vs LugaziUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KCCAOur prob 59% — 59% — C —
Kataka vs PoliceUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League PoliceOur prob 39% — 39% — C —
Blacks Power vs NECUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League NECOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
BUL vs Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League DrawOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyzUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League MaroonsOur prob 74% — 74% — C —
Mbarara City vs KCCAUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KCCAOur prob 43% — 43% — C —
Lugazi vs SC VillaUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League SC VillaOur prob 65% — 65% — C —
UPDF vs KitaraUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League UPDFOur prob 41% — 41% — C —
URA vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League VipersOur prob 63% — 63% — C —
Ntugasaze vs ExpressUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League ExpressOur prob 37% — 37% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Uganda Premier League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Uganda Premier League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 BUL 7 610 154 +11 19
2 SC Villa 7 520 163 +13 17
3 NEC 7 421 124 +8 14
4 Entebbe UPPC 7 421 72 +5 14
5 Blacks Power 7 403 911 -2 12
6 Vipers 6 321 132 +11 11
7 Maroons 7 313 138 +5 10
8 KCCA 6 312 44 0 10
9 Kitara 4 220 53 +2 8
10 UPDF 6 222 45 -1 8
11 Lugazi 7 223 49 -5 8
12 Police 7 223 410 -6 8
13 Express 7 133 46 -2 6
14 Mbarara City 6 123 25 -3 5
15 URA 6 114 510 -5 4
16 Ntugasaze 6 105 313 -10 3
17 Kataka 7 025 417 -13 2
18 Kigezi HomeBoyz 6 015 19 -8 1

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Uganda Premier League trends

How Uganda Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 58 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 43% 25 of 58 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (237)
Away wins 33% 19 of 58 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (237)
Over 2.5 goals 40% 23 of 58 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (237)
Both teams scored 36% 21 of 58 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (237)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (237 played matches).

Top Uganda Premier League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#2
Net rating
+1.15
Attack
1.64
Defence
0.49
Form NextMbarara City (A) · 28 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent Uganda Premier League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Uganda Premier League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Blacks Power vs URAOur pick Blacks Power · 42% Blacks Power to win 42% 3–2 Correct
Vipers vs PoliceOur pick Vipers · 83% Vipers to win 83% 0–0 Missed
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPCOur pick Entebbe UPPC · 56% Entebbe UPPC to win 56% 0–1 Correct
SC Villa vs Mbarara CityOur pick SC Villa · 75% SC Villa to win 75% 2–0 Correct
Lugazi vs ExpressOur pick Draw · 34% Draw 34% 0–0 Correct
BUL vs NECOur pick BUL · 40% BUL to win 40% 2–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.