Today’s matches in Brazil
11 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta vs JuventudeBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | JuventudeOur prob 71%Best odds 1.37 | -2% | 69% | 71% | C | 1.37 |
| Internacional vs CorinthiansBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | InternacionalOur prob 44%Best odds 2.27 | +4% | 47% | 43% | C | 2.27 |
| RB Bragantino vs MirassolBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | RB BragantinoOur prob 49%Best odds 1.83 | -13% | 40% | 52% | C | 1.83 |
| Remo vs GremioBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | RemoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.36 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.36 |
| Avai vs LondrinaBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | AvaiOur prob 42%Best odds 2.20 | -7% | 37% | 44% | C | 2.20 |
| Operario-PR vs Botafogo SPBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Operario-PROur prob 48%Best odds 2.10 | +11% | 56% | 45% | C | 2.10 |
| Vitoria vs Chapecoense-scBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | VitoriaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.72 | -14% | 42% | 56% | C | 1.72 |
| Botafogo vs Vasco DA GamaBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | Vasco DA GamaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.56 | +18% | 56% | 38% | C | 2.56 |
| America Mineiro vs Fortaleza ECBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Fortaleza ECOur prob 50%Best odds 1.95 | +2% | 51% | 50% | C | 1.95 |
| Vila Nova vs CuiabaBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Vila NovaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 | +4% | 48% | 44% | C | 2.20 |
| CRB vs Atletico GoianienseBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | CRBOur prob 40%Best odds 2.12 | -17% | 27% | 44% | C | 2.12 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Brazil — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Brazil’s covered competitions: 739 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (882 played matches).
Competitions in Brazil
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Brazil · league- Teams
- 20
- Played
- 279 of 380
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 47%
- Over 2.5
- 52%
- BTTS
- 59%
-
Brazil · league- Teams
- 20
- Played
- 310 of 380
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 45%
- Over 2.5
- 43%
- BTTS
- 47%
-
Brazil · cup- Teams
- 126
- Played
- 150 of 154
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 45%
- Over 2.5
- 35%
- BTTS
- 39%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Brazil by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.92
- Attack
- 1.75
- Defence
- 0.83
- Net rating
- +0.85
- Attack
- 1.68
- Defence
- 0.83
- Net rating
- +0.75
- Attack
- 1.42
- Defence
- 0.67
- Net rating
- +0.73
- Attack
- 1.61
- Defence
- 0.88
- Net rating
- +0.61
- Attack
- 1.39
- Defence
- 0.78
- Net rating
- +0.47
- Attack
- 1.29
- Defence
- 0.82
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Brazil
What happened next to what we predicted