Next fixtures in France
5 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier vs GrenobleLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | MontpellierOur prob 54%Best odds 1.65 | -17% | 41% | 58% | C | 1.65 |
| Nancy vs GuingampLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | NancyOur prob 46%Best odds 2.15 | +5% | 50% | 45% | C | 2.15 |
| Sochaux vs BoulogneLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | SochauxOur prob 44%Best odds 2.31 | +7% | 49% | 42% | C | 2.31 |
| PAU vs LavalLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | PAUOur prob 44%Best odds 2.15 | -5% | 40% | 45% | C | 2.15 |
| Dunkerque vs AnnecyLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | DunkerqueOur prob 39%Best odds 2.30 | -13% | 29% | 42% | C | 2.30 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
France — country trends
How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across France’s covered competitions: 309 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (814 played matches).
Competitions in France
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
France · cup- Teams
- 0
- Played
- 0 of 0
- Upcoming
- 33
- Home wins
- 23%
- Over 2.5
- 59%
- BTTS
- 48%
-
France · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 45 of 306
- Upcoming
- 27
- Home wins
- 40%
- Over 2.5
- 58%
- BTTS
- 58%
-
France · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 63 of 306
- Upcoming
- 33
- Home wins
- 33%
- Over 2.5
- 46%
- BTTS
- 59%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in France by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.87
- Attack
- 2.25
- Defence
- 1.37
- Net rating
- +0.77
- Attack
- 2.00
- Defence
- 1.23
- Net rating
- +0.70
- Attack
- 2.17
- Defence
- 1.47
- Net rating
- +0.68
- Attack
- 1.77
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.57
- Attack
- 1.89
- Defence
- 1.33
- Net rating
- +0.46
- Attack
- 1.76
- Defence
- 1.30
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in France
What happened next to what we predicted
- Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain1–2
- Nice vs Lille2–1
- Auxerre vs Brest2–1
- Angers vs Estac Troyes2–0
- Lyon vs Rennes4–0
- Toulouse vs Le Havre3–2