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Europe · latest season of each competition season

France football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in France — 3 competitions, 203 clubs, 175 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in France
Teams 203 in the latest season of each competition season
Matches played 363 of 813 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in France

7 fixtures on 30 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in France with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Le Havre vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1A Ligue 1 Paris Saint GermainOur prob 73%Best odds 1.26 -5% 73% 77% A 1.26
Nantes vs Clermont FootLigue 2C Ligue 2 NantesOur prob 57%Best odds 1.52 -7% 57% 64% C 1.52
Grenoble vs DijonLigue 2C Ligue 2 DijonOur prob 44%Best odds 2.27 +2% 44% 42% C 2.27
Metz vs PAULigue 2C Ligue 2 MetzOur prob 42%Best odds 2.11 -2% 42% 45% C 2.11
Laval vs BoulogneLigue 2C Ligue 2 LavalOur prob 36%Best odds 2.57 -2% 36% 37% C 2.57
Rodez vs DunkerqueLigue 2C Ligue 2 RodezOur prob 43%Best odds 2.11 -2% 43% 45% C 2.11
Lille vs LensLigue 1A Ligue 1 LilleOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 -1% 40% 41% A 2.45

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

France — country trends

How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across France’s covered competitions: 363 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 31% 111 of 363 matches -8 pts vs latest season of each competition (814)
Away wins 42% 151 of 363 matches +6 pts vs latest season of each competition (814)
Over 2.5 goals 56% 205 of 363 matches +4 pts vs latest season of each competition (814)
Both teams scored 54% 195 of 363 matches +3 pts vs latest season of each competition (814)

Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (814 played matches).

Competitions in France

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in France by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

St Maur Lusitanos
Coupe de France
#1
Net rating
+1.02
Attack
2.13
Defence
1.11
Form
Le Puy Foot
Coupe de France
#4
Net rating
+0.78
Attack
1.51
Defence
0.73
Form
Caen
Coupe de France
#5
Net rating
+0.76
Attack
2.25
Defence
1.49
Form
Feignies-Aulnoye
Coupe de France
#6
Net rating
+0.69
Attack
1.92
Defence
1.23
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in France

What happened next to what we predicted