Today’s matches in Netherlands
9 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den HaagKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | Excelsior '31Our prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Roda vs De GraafschapKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | RodaOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| FC Eindhoven vs FC VolendamKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | FC VolendamOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — |
| Helmond Sport vs Willem IIKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | Helmond SportOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | C | — |
| Telstar vs Almere City FCKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | Almere City FCOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den BoschKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | Rijnsburgse BoysOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Barendrecht vs WaalwijkKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | BarendrechtOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Kloetinge vs CambuurKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | KloetingeOur prob 61% | — | 61% | — | C | — |
| Koninklijke HFC vs GO Ahead EaglesKNVB BekerC | KNVB Beker | Koninklijke HFCOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Netherlands — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Netherlands’s covered competitions: 262 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (810 played matches).
Competitions in Netherlands
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Netherlands · league- Teams
- 20
- Played
- 120 of 380
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 51%
- Over 2.5
- 67%
- BTTS
- 69%
-
Netherlands · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 90 of 306
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 31%
- Over 2.5
- 73%
- BTTS
- 72%
-
Netherlands · cup- Teams
- 104
- Played
- 52 of 78
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 40%
- Over 2.5
- 77%
- BTTS
- 60%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Netherlands by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.44
- Attack
- 3.20
- Defence
- 1.76
- Net rating
- +1.12
- Attack
- 2.38
- Defence
- 1.26
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.49
- Defence
- 1.45
- Net rating
- +0.89
- Attack
- 2.34
- Defence
- 1.45
- Net rating
- +0.88
- Attack
- 2.43
- Defence
- 1.55
- Net rating
- +0.88
- Attack
- 2.63
- Defence
- 1.76
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Netherlands
What happened next to what we predicted