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Europe · 2026/27 season

Netherlands football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Netherlands — 3 competitions, 114 clubs, 198 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in Netherlands
Teams 114 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 205 of 764 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Netherlands

11 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Netherlands with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
PSV Eindhoven vs HeerenveenEredivisieC Eredivisie PSV EindhovenOur prob 73%Best odds 1.27 -11% 65% 76% C 1.27
De Graafschap vs Jong UtrechtEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie De GraafschapOur prob 53%Best odds 1.65 -21% 37% 59% C 1.65
NAC Breda vs MVVEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie NAC BredaOur prob 68%Best odds 1.37 -3% 66% 69% C 1.37
Heracles vs WaalwijkEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie HeraclesOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 -13% 47% 61% C 1.57
Dordrecht vs EmmenEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie EmmenOur prob 44%Best odds 2.25 +6% 48% 42% C 2.25
Roda vs Jong PSV U21Eerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie RodaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.72 -8% 47% 56% C 1.72
FC Volendam vs VitesseEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie FC VolendamOur prob 40%Best odds 2.40 -1% 39% 40% C 2.40
Jong AZ vs Den BoschEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie Jong AZOur prob 54%Best odds 1.91 +16% 66% 50% C 1.91
Almere City FC vs FC EindhovenEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie Almere City FCOur prob 69%Best odds 1.40 +2% 70% 68% C 1.40
FC OSS vs Helmond SportEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie FC OSSOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 +9% 52% 43% C 2.20
Jong Ajax vs VVV VenloEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie VVV VenloOur prob 49%Best odds 2.20 +22% 65% 43% C 2.20

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Netherlands — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Netherlands’s covered competitions: 205 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 44% 90 of 205 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (810)
Away wins 36% 74 of 205 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (810)
Over 2.5 goals 73% 149 of 205 matches +9 pts vs 2025/26 (810)
Both teams scored 68% 139 of 205 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (810)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (810 played matches).

Competitions in Netherlands

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Netherlands by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

KNVB Beker
#1
Net rating
+1.44
Attack
3.20
Defence
1.76
Form
Eredivisie
#3
Net rating
+1.32
Attack
2.84
Defence
1.52
Form NextNEC Nijmegen (H) · 10 Oct
Eredivisie
#4
Net rating
+1.28
Attack
2.63
Defence
1.34
Form NextAZ Alkmaar (H) · 10 Oct
KNVB Beker
#5
Net rating
+0.88
Attack
2.43
Defence
1.55
Form
KNVB Beker
#6
Net rating
+0.88
Attack
2.63
Defence
1.76
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Netherlands

What happened next to what we predicted