Flag of Poland

Europe · 2026/27 season

Poland football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Poland — 3 competitions, 70 clubs, 153 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in Poland
Teams 70 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 195 of 666 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Poland

3 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Poland with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla PlockEkstraklasaC Ekstraklasa Wieczysta KrakówOur prob 44%Best odds 2.16 +3% 46% 43% C 2.16
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS KatowiceEkstraklasaC Ekstraklasa Raków CzęstochowaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.17 -5% 38% 43% C 2.17
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń SiedlceI LigaC I Liga PodbeskidzieOur prob 46%Best odds 1.85 -17% 33% 50% C 1.85

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Poland — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Poland’s covered competitions: 195 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 44% 86 of 195 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (681)
Away wins 33% 64 of 195 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (681)
Over 2.5 goals 57% 111 of 195 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (681)
Both teams scored 59% 116 of 195 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (681)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (681 played matches).

Competitions in Poland

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Poland by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Poland Cup
#2
Net rating
+0.76
Attack
2.14
Defence
1.38
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Poland

What happened next to what we predicted

Ekstraklasa
  • Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom5–1
  • Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa1–3
  • Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock0–2
  • Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin1–2
I Liga
  • Podbeskidzie vs Unia Skierniewice1–1
  • Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia2–1