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Europe · 2026/27 season

Portugal football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Portugal — 3 competitions, 149 clubs, 263 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in Portugal
Teams 149 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 267 of 726 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Portugal

1 fixture on 30 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Portugal with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Casa Pia vs Sporting CPPrimeira LigaC Primeira Liga Sporting CPOur prob 70%Best odds 1.29 -6% 70% 76% C 1.29

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Portugal — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Portugal’s covered competitions: 267 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 111 of 267 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (766)
Away wins 42% 111 of 267 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (766)
Over 2.5 goals 54% 145 of 267 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (766)
Both teams scored 44% 117 of 267 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (766)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (766 played matches).

Competitions in Portugal

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Portugal by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Primeira Liga
#1
Net rating
+1.46
Attack
2.45
Defence
0.99
Form NextAlverca (H) · 2 Nov
Bragança
Taça de Portugal
#2
Net rating
+1.13
Attack
2.36
Defence
1.23
Form
Vianense
Taça de Portugal
#3
Net rating
+1.11
Attack
2.40
Defence
1.29
Form
O Elvas
Taça de Portugal
#4
Net rating
+0.97
Attack
2.20
Defence
1.23
Form
Sacavenense
Taça de Portugal
#5
Net rating
+0.90
Attack
2.32
Defence
1.42
Form
Atlético CP
Taça de Portugal
#6
Net rating
+0.86
Attack
1.85
Defence
0.99
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Portugal

What happened next to what we predicted

Segunda Liga
Primeira Liga