Next fixtures in Portugal
3 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel vs AVSSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | PenafielOur prob 48%Best odds 2.00 | -2% | 46% | 49% | C | 2.00 |
| Moreirense vs GIL VicentePrimeira LigaC | Primeira Liga | GIL VicenteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.31 | -9% | 34% | 42% | C | 2.31 |
| SC Braga vs Sporting CPPrimeira LigaC | Primeira Liga | Sporting CPOur prob 44%Best odds 2.11 | -11% | 35% | 46% | C | 2.11 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Portugal — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Portugal’s covered competitions: 203 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (766 played matches).
Competitions in Portugal
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Portugal · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 62 of 306
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 39%
- Over 2.5
- 55%
- BTTS
- 50%
-
Portugal · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 54 of 306
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 43%
- Over 2.5
- 44%
- BTTS
- 41%
-
Portugal · cup- Teams
- 141
- Played
- 87 of 114
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 41%
- Over 2.5
- 63%
- BTTS
- 37%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Portugal by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.48
- Attack
- 2.61
- Defence
- 1.13
- Net rating
- +1.43
- Attack
- 2.48
- Defence
- 1.05
- Net rating
- +1.16
- Attack
- 2.39
- Defence
- 1.23
- Net rating
- +1.16
- Attack
- 2.64
- Defence
- 1.48
- Net rating
- +0.99
- Attack
- 2.14
- Defence
- 1.15
- Net rating
- +0.97
- Attack
- 2.23
- Defence
- 1.26
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Portugal
What happened next to what we predicted
- Camacha vs Florgrade0–1
- AD Marco 09 vs Maia Lidador1–0
- FC Porto vs Benfica3–1
- Santa Clara vs SC Braga0–0
- Estoril vs Casa Pia1–2