Next fixtures in USA
5 fixtures on 28 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC vs DC UnitedMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Toronto FCOur prob 52%Best odds 2.02 | +3% | 52% | 48% | C | 2.02 |
| New York City FC vs Atlanta United FCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | New York City FCOur prob 49%Best odds 1.87 | -3% | 49% | 52% | C | 1.87 |
| New England Revolution vs New York Red BullsMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | New England RevolutionOur prob 48%Best odds 2.05 | 0% | 48% | 48% | C | 2.05 |
| Inter Miami vs FC CincinnatiMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Inter MiamiOur prob 61%Best odds 1.57 | 0% | 61% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| Charlotte vs CF MontrealMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | CharlotteOur prob 64%Best odds 1.52 | +1% | 64% | 63% | C | 1.52 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
USA — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across USA’s covered competitions: 919 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (1010 played matches).
Competitions in USA
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
USA · league- Teams
- 30
- Played
- 466 of 510
- Upcoming
- 52
- Home wins
- 45%
- Over 2.5
- 64%
- BTTS
- 64%
-
USA · cup- Teams
- 80
- Played
- 78 of 79
- Upcoming
- 52
- Home wins
- 55%
- Over 2.5
- 62%
- BTTS
- 45%
-
USA · league- Teams
- 25
- Played
- 375 of 383
- Upcoming
- 52
- Home wins
- 44%
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- BTTS
- 54%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in USA by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.28
- Attack
- 2.17
- Defence
- 0.90
- Net rating
- +0.96
- Attack
- 2.40
- Defence
- 1.44
- Net rating
- +0.82
- Attack
- 2.26
- Defence
- 1.44
- Net rating
- +0.78
- Attack
- 1.80
- Defence
- 1.02
- Net rating
- +0.75
- Attack
- 1.94
- Defence
- 1.19
- Net rating
- +0.74
- Attack
- 1.65
- Defence
- 0.91
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in USA
What happened next to what we predicted