Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav preview
Bohemians 1905 face Mlada Boleslav with 37% chances to win compared to 36% for Mlada Boleslav. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 6% probability. Mlada Boleslav's expected goals stand at 1.56, higher than Bohemians 1905's 1.08.
Both teams to score has a 53% chance, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 49%. Recent form shows Bohemians 1905 with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Mlada Boleslav has 4 wins in the same period. The head-to-head record shows Bohemians 1905 with 3 wins, Mlada Boleslav with 2 wins, and 5 draws in their last 10 encounters. A draw could disrupt the expected outcomes.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav: model vs market
| Source | Bohemians 1905 | Draw | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Published | 37% | 26% | 36% |
| Edge | -17% | +2% | +15% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.37, recorded — the top price across the 13 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bohemians 1905, 15 snapshots since 2026-08-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | 2.24 | 2.23 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.41 | 3.59 | +0.18 |
| Mlada Boleslav | 3.00 | 2.86 | -0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Bohemians 1905 / Mlada Boleslav)
- 0.93 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Bohemians 1905 / Mlada Boleslav)
- 1.01 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bohemians 1905 goals. Columns: Mlada Boleslav goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Mlada Boleslav | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| No | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bohemians 1905 or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Mlada Boleslav) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bohemians 1905 win by 2+ | 10% | 10.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav recent form
Bohemians 1905
2W 2D 2L
Mlada Boleslav
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bohemians 1905 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mlada Boleslav away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bohemians 1905 at home only, Mlada Boleslav away only.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Bohemians 1905 3 · draws 5 · Mlada Boleslav 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Mlada Boleslav | 2-2 | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| 2025-11-05 | Bohemians 1905 | 0-0 | Mlada Boleslav | Cup |
| 2025-10-22 | Bohemians 1905 | 1-1 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2025-03-15 | Mlada Boleslav | 1-2 | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| 2025-02-26 | Mlada Boleslav | 0-2 | Bohemians 1905 | Cup |
| 2024-10-20 | Bohemians 1905 | 2-2 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2024-03-09 | Bohemians 1905 | 0-0 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2023-10-01 | Mlada Boleslav | 2-1 | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| 2023-04-16 | Bohemians 1905 | 4-0 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2022-10-23 | Mlada Boleslav | 4-3 | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
Before and after this match
- Bohemians 1905, previous: Bohemians 1905 v Baník Ostrava analysis
- Mlada Boleslav, previous: Plzen v Mlada Boleslav analysis