Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava: model vs market
| Source | Bohemians 1905 | Draw | Baník Ostrava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Published | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.21.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bohemians 1905, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | 2.16 | 2.15 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.52 | +0.00 |
| Baník Ostrava | 3.00 | 3.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.77
- Attack rating (Bohemians 1905 / Baník Ostrava)
- 0.93 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Bohemians 1905 / Baník Ostrava)
- 1.01 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bohemians 1905 goals. Columns: Baník Ostrava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Baník Ostrava | 30% | 3.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| No | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bohemians 1905 or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Baník Ostrava) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bohemians 1905 win by 2+ | 23% | 4.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava recent form
Bohemians 1905
2W 2D 2L
Baník Ostrava
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bohemians 1905 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Baník Ostrava away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bohemians 1905 at home only, Baník Ostrava away only.
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bohemians 1905 2 · draws 0 · Baník Ostrava 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Baník Ostrava | 0-2 | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| 2025-07-19 | Bohemians 1905 | 1-0 | Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
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