Zlin vs Slavia Praha preview
In the Czech Liga, Zlin hosts Slavia Praha, with the market showing a strong likelihood of a Slavia Praha win at 75%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with Slavia's expected goals of 2.89 compared to Zlin's 0.91. This indicates a significant attacking advantage for Slavia Praha.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Zlin manages to score, as both teams to score has a probability of 57%. Additionally, the possibility of Over 2.5 goals stands at 73%, suggesting that if Zlin finds the net, the match could see more goals than anticipated. Zlin's recent form shows six games without a win, while Slavia Praha has won four of their last six matches.
Zlin vs Slavia Praha: model vs market
| Source | Zlin | Draw | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| Market | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| Published | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| Edge | -1% | -2% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Slavia Praha below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zlin vs Slavia Praha odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slavia Praha, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin | 10.38 | 9.75 | -0.62 |
| Draw | 5.62 | 5.53 | -0.10 |
| Slavia Praha | 1.23 | 1.25 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zlin and Slavia Praha expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.81
- Attack rating (Zlin / Slavia Praha)
- 0.80 / 1.69
- Defence rating (Zlin / Slavia Praha)
- 1.37 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zlin vs Slavia Praha score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zlin goals. Columns: Slavia Praha goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zlin vs Slavia Praha goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zlin vs Slavia Praha
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zlin | 9% | 10.89 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.19 | |
| Slavia Praha | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zlin or draw) | 25% | 3.95 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Slavia Praha) | 91% | 1.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win by 2+ | 58% | 1.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zlin and Slavia Praha recent form
Zlin
0W 1D 5L
Slavia Praha
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zlin at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slavia Praha away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zlin at home only, Slavia Praha away only.
Zlin vs Slavia Praha head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Zlin 0 · draws 2 · Slavia Praha 8.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Zlin | 1-3 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2025-10-29 | Zlin | 0-4 | Slavia Praha | Cup |
| 2025-10-18 | Slavia Praha | 0-0 | Zlin | Czech Liga |
| 2024-02-14 | Zlin | 1-1 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2023-08-06 | Slavia Praha | 2-1 | Zlin | Czech Liga |
| 2022-11-13 | Zlin | 0-4 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2022-08-07 | Slavia Praha | 4-1 | Zlin | Czech Liga |
| 2022-04-20 | Slavia Praha | 3-0 | Zlin | Czech Liga |
| 2021-12-15 | Slavia Praha | 3-1 | Zlin | Cup |
| 2021-07-25 | Zlin | 0-1 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav 2026-10-10
- Hradec Králové vs Artis 2026-10-10
- Zbrojovka Brno v FK Jablonec — match page 2026-10-10
- Bohemians 1905 v Baník Ostrava — match page 2026-10-10
- Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko 2026-10-11
- Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- Sparta Praha vs Pardubice — team news & stats 2026-10-11