Czech Liga · Matchday 10

Hradec Králové vs Artis

· FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove

Alin prediction Hradec Králové to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Hradec KrálovéDrawArtis
Best market odds
Hradec Králové1.47 Draw4.50 Artis6.50
Bet on Hradec Králové

Hradec Králové vs Artis preview

Hradec Králové faces Artis with a 60% probability of winning according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which suggests a tight match. Hradec Králové has an expected goals figure of 1.43 compared to Artis's 0.82, indicating they are more likely to score.

However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 44%, showing a reasonable chance that Artis could find the net. Additionally, Hradec Králové's recent form includes two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.

Hradec Králové vs Artis: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHradec KrálovéDrawArtis
Model50%29%20%
Market64%22%15%
Published60%24%16%
Edge-13%+8%+6%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Hradec Králové vs Artis odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Hradec Králové, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 1.45Now 1.44 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Hradec Králové1.451.44-0.01
Draw4.304.25-0.05
Artis6.286.27-0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Hradec Králové and Artis expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.43Hradec Králové
0.82Artis
Total expected goals
2.25
Attack rating (Hradec Králové / Artis)
0.75 / 0.73
Defence rating (Hradec Králové / Artis)
0.90 / 1.33

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hradec Králové vs Artis score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 1 13.9% 13.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 2 10.8% 8.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 3 5.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 2.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Hradec Králové goals. Columns: Artis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hradec Králové vs Artis goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Hradec Králové vs Artis

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Hradec Králové60%1.66
Draw24%4.24
Artis16%6.22
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.56
Under 2.561%1.64
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.28
No56%1.78
Double chance1X (Hradec Králové or draw)84%1.19
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or Artis)40%2.52
Handicap -1Hradec Králové win by 2+26%3.89
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Hradec Králové and Artis recent form

Hradec Králové 2W 1D 3L
Artis 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Hradec Králové at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Artis away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Hradec Králové at home only, Artis away only.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Hradec Králové to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Hradec Králové